The Continental US is Warming.

In another thread I was surprised to find Dunderbar claiming
that US temperatures have not risen. This is totally untrue.
Do the fossil fools plan to make Dunderbar's lie "true" by
repeating it many times?

On Nov 24, 7:50 am, Tunderbar wrote:
[ . . . ]
Did we not just have a discussion on how the temps in the US show no
increase, which you replied by suggesting that the US is not the
globe? And I replied by suggesting that if the temps in the US haven't
risen, you can't then say that global warming has caused phenomenon in
the US.???

US Historical Climatology Network data very clearly
show that continental US temperatures have increased.
I could make a map of the US out of the 2006 data,
their last official release.
Temperature Change in .1 F/Decade
1 3
32 23 1223 2 2 33333 3 22323
2 212 10231 21 2 2 3 2 4333442
1122231211302 3 3 22 3 232221333 2 3332 32
2122223 2323202 2 31 22 22 3 3012 2 1 1 123
22222 42 3 121220 23 122221222 2212 2 212213022
22 2 A12210 2031 1 12 321 11 1111A32 102 2222222 2
31242 2 22222 2 2 22332 112210 2112312 23 B1A21112433
02 0 2 3131 31331 112221 B1121201111B111211112333
2 3 1 22B1B 1123 13 33122011011 A0011B111012 B012332
2A33332 1 133 3A3B 321 3A200B1AA1101 1BA1112222
44D 3 2272 211 22 3111A11A10 0B000B021110111
2424 225 2 4011 1210 1100100ABA0B0 BB10021
1 29 4 31 32 23121111B01A0A 1B1 BABB1BA1A1 1
330 2 43 A201A 1AACAAACB1 A1BBBABBA111A 0
324 2 2204 1 0 23 BBABB0 1ACB30BAA100A20 0
32 5 642222422 1 0 0CB B A0111C BAA1A0
3222 2 522 533 B 2BCBB 25121111 BDB B00
12 1 2B BBBB 21010AAC11A0
21 B C 1 11BACA0 BAB2
A01 A1 1 30
1B 1 2 3
22 A1
2 24
12
1
This one-degree square grid map covers the continental United States,
24 to 49 degrees North latitude and 125 to 67 degrees West longitude.
This map is best viewed in a non-proportional font.

Key: ' ' = No Observation
'0' = 0F/Decade, '1' = .1F/Decade, '2' = .2F/Decade . . .
'A' = -.1F/Decade, 'B' = -.2F/Decade, 'C' = -.3F/Decade . . .

There are 1221 stations in the USHCN network. The yearly averages
from each station were correlated. 225 stations had a negative or
zero slope and were counted as cooling. More than 4 in 5, or 996,
stations showed warming with a positive slope.

To make this map, the correlation from each station and a "F"
statistic testing the confidence of the correlation were computed.
Then, the longitude and latitude of each station determined which
1 degree grid square that the product of the slope in units of
degrees Fahrenheit per decade and the statistical confidence were
added to. After all 1221 USHCN stations were summed, the weighted
mean for each grid square was produced by dividing the sums of the
products in each grid square by the total confidence within that
square.

661 one degree grid squares have at least one observation.
0.1341 F/Decade is the probability weighted mean temperature change.
602 one degree grid squares have at least a total of .7 confidence.
0.1460 F/Decade is their probability weighted mean temperature
change.

These data cover the years 1874-2005. The number of years on
Each station's record varies. These "Filnet Value" data were
corrected for:
- outliers 3.5 SIGMA beyond the mean (replaced by estimates),
- time of observation bias,
- the change from liquid to electronic thermometers, and
- vertical station moves.

These data were found at:
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ush...lc_mean_data.Z
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ush...on.inventory.Z
ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/README.TXT
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ol/climate/...hcn/ushcn.html
The valid, or non "-99.99," yearly average fields from mean "Filnet
value," or "3A," records in years later than, or equal to, 1800 are
used.

Number of Sites
00100000100000000000000000000000000000000000000000 000000000
01502102212020020211110030121110000000000000000000 000000000
10523041211022010010201000031231110000000000000000 000000000
13212124211120101001204031211211102011210000000000 000000110
03323222000114121100101102201201011110101000000000 000101110
11211001301003212110110022131124103132000100000002 453121210
13010011111101113010110122022042311130114000001224 423020000
12322001013123010010312110123121012211120110115644 232610000
02201000001025120011321011342101323322325222321123 462420000
10201012111014120012011132466222013223232414201124 631000000
02224111001024101111000113011212133423350123131465 400000000
00431010000031120121024013111233110133462122324165 000000000
00111100000251020311100112202131211312111012222110 000000000
00100310100011011011213212262141013204111211122030 000000000
00002110003021000011121013324222110111311242312401 000000000
00000221002011110030201103222210112521221365322010 000000000
00000002101023111111100101011101021231101224230000 000000000
00000001111010112031101011111011122112021202310000 000000000
00000000000000110010011002111000143312112112000000 000000000
00000000000000000000021000201010332212102211000000 000000000
00000000000000000000000000322000013000010011000000 000000000
00000000000000000000000012010000000000000030100000 000000000
00000000000000000000000000210000000000000002100000 000000000
00000000000000000000000000100000000000000001200000 000000000
00000000000000000000000000000000000000000001100000 000000000
00000000000000000000000000000000000000000001000000 000000000

- - - - -

One might also look at RSS MSU satellite data
for the lower troposphere. They show the
continental US warming at 2.3 +- 0.5 K per
century over the last three decades with 5
9s of confidence of non-zero correlation.
Call:
lm(formula = ContUSA ~ YEARMON, data = aframe)

Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) -46.50388 10.29700 -4.52 8.6e-06 ***
YEARMON 0.02339 0.00516 4.53 8.1e-06 ***
---
Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1

Residual standard error: 0.841 on 356 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.0545, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0518
F-statistic: 20.5 on 1 and 356 DF, p-value: 8.1e-06

These data are from:

http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...cean_v03_2.txt

The computation was done by the "R" statistics package.

- -

Those of you who are unfamiliar with satellite
proxy temperature measurements may want to see:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Satelli...e_measurements

The URL below is one of the more conservative records
from the University of Alabama at Huntsville.

http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2

The global data are graphed he

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg

The Remote Sensing Systems Lower Troposphere (TLT) analysis
shows a 0.16K/Decade rise over the land and sea.

http://www.remss.com/data/msu/monthl...cean_v03_2.txt

The data from 82.5N to 70S are graphed here;

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/RSS-MSU.jpg

Roger Coppock wrote:

The Continental US is Warming.

I rather doubt it.

This the 'last gasp' of the AGW movement before the no-longer gullible public puts a wooden stake through their miserable
hearts.

You can fool all the people some of the time ...... etc

Incidentally the only conspiracy here is a GREEN one which will knock back their 'good' ideas by several decades. In the
meantime, Greenpeace and FoE will become a public laughing stock. Sadly it will also damage the public perception of
science unless every AGW heretic (sorry LIAR) is publicly disowned and FIRED.

****, my fingers are freezing !

Graham