Fran wrote:
On Dec 17, 8:16=A0pm, wrote:

AlI know is, the BoM can't even accurately predict the weather from
one day to the next, so I'm not holding my breath on any longer-term
predictions

Regrettably

You're still a sham, Fran.
You are nothing like authoritative or convincing.

a) you have no benchmark standard for BoM accuracy "from one day to
the nest" against which to judge BoM performance.

No benchmark standard! My Gaia! What do we do without benchmark
standards?!

I know; let's develop an analytical system that quantifies the
quality of the forecasts against what actually happened.

Use that system to analyse past forecasts and the actual weather,
publish and, before you know it, you have a benchmark standard.

That has been done. As "the expert" you purport to be, how could you
not know that?

Did it ever cross your mind that BoM may measure their own forecast
quality and tune their methods to achieve the highest quality?
I know that they take absolutely NO responsibility for anything that
they publish, but surely it's nice to know that it'd be safe to go
home at the end of work.

b) you have no data to compare with that model

Rubbish. BoM forecasts are very likely archived and can be compared
to what actually happened.

c) the benchmark standards for short term prediction of weather trends
within a specific region are entirely different from gross assessments

You stated at a) that there were no benchmark standards.
You're a transparent sham, Fran.

of global climate trends and their likely drivers

d) the likely sea ice extent during future years in the high northern
altitudes during the northern summer are not connected with short term
weather prediction

You're a sham, Fran.
Can't even get the simple things right.

"the high northern altitudes"? Sea ice doesn't form at high altitudes.

You seem to be too busy gabbing to pay attention even to what you're
writing. Or even thinking before punishing your keyboard.

Try to stick with simple words like "polar ice cap", "polar sea
ice" or "Santa's home".
--
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