ATTENTION:

GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
EARTHQUAKE RESEARCHERS
DISASTER MITIGATION PERSONNEL

This is a preliminary notice regarding an earthquake
forecasting and research computer program that has been developed
during the past decade. The program is scheduled to be available at
one or more Internet Web sites as a freeware downloadable program at
some time in the near future. At that time notices regarding program
availability will be posted to Internet Newsgroups and Bulletin
Boards, and circulated by E-mail.

The computer program is already fully operational. Remaining
efforts involve matters such as getting the copyright information and
source code organized. A formal U.S. copyright was obtained for the
program's basic source code several years ago.

Information regarding some of the types of data the program
generates can be found at the Meteoquake.org Web site. http://www.meteoquake.org/
Click on the Earthquake Forecasting Computer Program link on the top
left side of that page. Then follow the links to the Index.html Web
page that discusses the computer program.

THE PROGRAM'S CAPABILITIES

It was created primarily for two purposes.

Earthquake Forecasting - The program compares data related to what
are believed to be earthquake fault zone activity related
electromagnetic energy field pulses that can be easily detected around
the world, with data for more than fifty thousand earthquakes in the
program's database file. It then generates reports, charts, and maps
that show which earthquakes in the database file best matched the
energy field pulses. In some cases an expected earthquake will then
occur near the location of one of the earthquakes in the reports etc.

Earthquake Research - The program can be used to compare earthquakes
with other earthquakes. That enables the program user to obtain
information regarding earthquake triggering processes.

Towards the bottom of that Index.html Web page there is a chart
named "India.jpg" that earthquake researchers should carefully
examine. It contains data related to electromagnetic energy field
pulses that were detected during the twenty-four hours prior to the
devastating January 26, 2001 earthquake in India that reportedly
claimed more than twenty thousand lives. There is also a data line
near the top of the chart for the earthquake itself.

The chart shows how the electromagnetic energy field pulses are
at times being generated in relation to the times when earthquakes
occur. And it indicates how complex the matching process can be
between electromagnetic pulses and earthquakes.

Another chart towards the bottom of the Web page contains data
for thirty-one destructive earthquakes that occurred around the world
between October of 1989 and May 12, 2008, the date of a catastrophic
earthquake in the People's Republic of China.

In some cases it can be easy to match energy field pulses with
past earthquakes. In others a fair amount of time and effort have to
be devoted to evaluating data in order to determine where an expected
earthquake is likely to occur. And in still other cases the computer
program probably does not generate any helpful information.

An important goal of this effort is to have researchers and
computer programmers around the world gradually build increasingly
sophisticated data processing routines into the computer program so
that over time its accuracy and reliability improve. There should be
large amounts of earthquake and energy field pulse data available that
they can use to accomplish that.

THE PROGRAM'S MAIN ADVANTAGE

An advantage of this forecasting program over many others, some
of which might generate more accurate and reliable data, is the fact
that government scientists and professional and amateur researchers
around the world will be able to download and run the program for free
on their own computers. It will be available as a complete package.
Nothing else will need to be downloaded. And, the present version
does not make any changes to the operating system of the user's
computer. When the directory the program runs in and a few text files
created by the graphics software are deleted the program is completely
gone.

The present version of the program runs on many popular
computers. And although the program does not have any specific
computer memory or speed requirements it does run a lot faster on
computers with high speed processors and four gigabytes of memory.

The "program" consists of a central computer program and a few
support computer programs along with several dozen data and user
modifiable help files. Some of the source code for the support
programs should be available at the time that the complete program is
released. The plan is to make the source code for the central
computer program available as soon as possible after the program
becomes available, perhaps in a week or two of that time.
Researchers and computer programmers around the world will then be
able to develop the program's source code and hopefully rapidly
improve its performance.

If possible, Internet Web site repositories for records of
electromagnetic pulse times will be created. People around the world
will then be able to access those data and use the program to evaluate
them. Also if possible, Internet Web site repositories will be
created for storing versions of the computer program that will run on
different computers and with various operating systems.

SIGNIFICANCE

If all goes according to plan, once the program is released,
government scientists working for even the poorest nations should be
able to generate at least some information regarding approaching
significant earthquakes. All they will need is a moderately powerful
personal computer, access to the Internet, and a willingness to
devote some time and energy to evaluating the data that the program
generates. They will not even need to work on program development as
other people will probably be doing that and then sharing the source
code.

It is my recommendation that people not rely exclusively on
data that the program generates. Instead, if program data suggest
that an earthquake could be headed in their direction they should
begin looking around for other confirmation signs or precursors
related to approaching seismic activity. Precursors might include
fresh, large cracks in building foundations, abrupt changes in well
and ground water levels, and excessive amounts of static noise on
radio and television transmissions. Present belief is that if there
are no easily detected precursors in an area then an expected
earthquake will most likely occur elsewhere.

It is hoped that when scientists using the program see that
useful data can be easily generated regarding approaching earthquakes
they will encourage their governments to take a stronger interest in
developing a variety of forecasting technologies.