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#1
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8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record
In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA: http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C. The Variance is 0.10268. The Standard Deviation is 0.3204. Rxy 0.62095 Rxy^2 0.38558 TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 79.699722 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999 (14 nines) The month of December in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.354, yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend. The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591 Rank of the months of December Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2006 14.84 0.828 2.58 2003 14.76 0.748 2.33 2005 14.72 0.708 2.21 1998 14.70 0.688 2.15 2004 14.65 0.638 1.99 2001 14.63 0.618 1.93 2007 14.61 0.598 1.87 2008 14.57 0.558 1.74 -- 1997 14.53 0.518 1.62 1987 14.48 0.468 1.46 1990 14.47 0.458 1.43 1979 14.46 0.448 1.40 2002 14.45 0.438 1.37 MEAN 14.012 0.000 0.00 1908 13.67 -0.342 -1.07 1933 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1920 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1903 13.58 -0.432 -1.35 1909 13.55 -0.462 -1.44 1893 13.51 -0.502 -1.57 1929 13.50 -0.512 -1.60 1892 13.47 -0.542 -1.69 1902 13.45 -0.562 -1.75 1910 13.41 -0.602 -1.88 1907 13.39 -0.622 -1.94 1916 13.26 -0.752 -2.35 1884 13.14 -0.872 -2.72 1917 13.13 -0.882 -2.75 The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
#2
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On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C. The Variance is 0.10268. The Standard Deviation is 0.3204. Rxy 0.62095 Rxy^2 0.38558 TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 79.699722 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999 (14 nines) The month of December in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.354, yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend. The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591 Rank of the months of December Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2006 14.84 0.828 2.58 2003 14.76 0.748 2.33 2005 14.72 0.708 2.21 1998 14.70 0.688 2.15 2004 14.65 0.638 1.99 2001 14.63 0.618 1.93 2007 14.61 0.598 1.87 2008 14.57 0.558 1.74 -- 1997 14.53 0.518 1.62 1987 14.48 0.468 1.46 1990 14.47 0.458 1.43 1979 14.46 0.448 1.40 2002 14.45 0.438 1.37 MEAN 14.012 0.000 0.00 1908 13.67 -0.342 -1.07 1933 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1920 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1903 13.58 -0.432 -1.35 1909 13.55 -0.462 -1.44 1893 13.51 -0.502 -1.57 1929 13.50 -0.512 -1.60 1892 13.47 -0.542 -1.69 1902 13.45 -0.562 -1.75 1910 13.41 -0.602 -1.88 1907 13.39 -0.622 -1.94 1916 13.26 -0.752 -2.35 1884 13.14 -0.872 -2.72 1917 13.13 -0.882 -2.75 The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. They actually think it has been warm. Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? They have made it a habit. |
#3
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On Jan 25, 7:20 pm, Frogwatch wrote:
On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C. The Variance is 0.10268. The Standard Deviation is 0.3204. Rxy 0.62095 Rxy^2 0.38558 TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 F = 79.699722 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999 (14 nines) The month of December in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.354, yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend. The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591 Rank of the months of December Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 2006 14.84 0.828 2.58 2003 14.76 0.748 2.33 2005 14.72 0.708 2.21 1998 14.70 0.688 2.15 2004 14.65 0.638 1.99 2001 14.63 0.618 1.93 2007 14.61 0.598 1.87 2008 14.57 0.558 1.74 -- 1997 14.53 0.518 1.62 1987 14.48 0.468 1.46 1990 14.47 0.458 1.43 1979 14.46 0.448 1.40 2002 14.45 0.438 1.37 MEAN 14.012 0.000 0.00 1908 13.67 -0.342 -1.07 1933 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1920 13.59 -0.422 -1.32 1903 13.58 -0.432 -1.35 1909 13.55 -0.462 -1.44 1893 13.51 -0.502 -1.57 1929 13.50 -0.512 -1.60 1892 13.47 -0.542 -1.69 1902 13.45 -0.562 -1.75 1910 13.41 -0.602 -1.88 1907 13.39 -0.622 -1.94 1916 13.26 -0.752 -2.35 1884 13.14 -0.872 -2.72 1917 13.13 -0.882 -2.75 The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. They actually think it has been warm. Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? They have made it a habit. BTW, they CANNOT correct for the urban heat island effect when they think a station next to an AC exhaust will produce good data. They think that stations adjacent to hot asphalt give good data. |
#4
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On Jan 25, 7:21*pm, Frogwatch wrote:
On Jan 25, 7:20 pm, Frogwatch wrote: On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C. The Variance is 0.10268. The Standard Deviation is 0.3204. Rxy 0.62095 * Rxy^2 0.38558 TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 79.699722 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999 (14 nines) The month of December in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.354, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend. The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591 *Rank of the months of December Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 2006 * 14.84 * * 0.828 * * 2.58 2003 * 14.76 * * 0.748 * * 2.33 2005 * 14.72 * * 0.708 * * 2.21 1998 * 14.70 * * 0.688 * * 2.15 2004 * 14.65 * * 0.638 * * 1.99 2001 * 14.63 * * 0.618 * * 1.93 2007 * 14.61 * * 0.598 * * 1.87 2008 * 14.57 * * 0.558 * * 1.74 -- 1997 * 14.53 * * 0.518 * * 1.62 1987 * 14.48 * * 0.468 * * 1.46 1990 * 14.47 * * 0.458 * * 1.43 1979 * 14.46 * * 0.448 * * 1.40 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.438 * * 1.37 MEAN * 14.012 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1908 * 13.67 * *-0.342 * *-1.07 1933 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32 1920 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32 1903 * 13.58 * *-0.432 * *-1.35 1909 * 13.55 * *-0.462 * *-1.44 1893 * 13.51 * *-0.502 * *-1.57 1929 * 13.50 * *-0.512 * *-1.60 1892 * 13.47 * *-0.542 * *-1.69 1902 * 13.45 * *-0.562 * *-1.75 1910 * 13.41 * *-0.602 * *-1.88 1907 * 13.39 * *-0.622 * *-1.94 1916 * 13.26 * *-0.752 * *-2.35 1884 * 13.14 * *-0.872 * *-2.72 1917 * 13.13 * *-0.882 * *-2.75 The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: * -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. *They actually think it has been warm. *Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? *They have made it a habit. BTW, they CANNOT correct for the urban heat island effect when they think a station next to an AC exhaust will produce good data. *They think that stations adjacent to hot asphalt give good data.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - |
#5
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On Jan 25, 7:20*pm, Frogwatch wrote:
Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. *They actually think it has been warm. *Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? *They have made it a habit.- Whether "they" find it warm or not depends on a couple of other questions, doesn't it? Like - WHERE are we talking about? And COMPARED TO WHAT is it warm or cold (or whatever)? I presume Roger is talking about global temperature data, as averaged by NASA. And the comparison is with average temperatures, globally, for this time of the year, over the past 129 years. This doesn't mean that the weather where YOU are, Frogwatch, is necessarily going to be warmer than it was last year. We're talking long-term global trends -- well, long term meaning going back for as long as good temperature records have been kept, anyway. This might not have much to do with whether the high in Cleveland on Dec. 18, 2008 was higher than the high in Cleveland on Dec. 18, 2007 or 2005. |
#6
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On Jan 26, 11:21*am, Frogwatch wrote:
On Jan 25, 7:20 pm, Frogwatch wrote: On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. *Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The Mean December temperature over the last 129 years is 14.012 C. The Variance is 0.10268. The Standard Deviation is 0.3204. Rxy 0.62095 * Rxy^2 0.38558 TEMP = 13.664771 + (0.005343 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 127 * * * * F = 79.699722 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.99999999999999 (14 nines) The month of December in the year 2008, is linearly projected to be 14.354, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.57. -- Above the trend. The sum of the absolute errors is 26.239346 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.670899 * e^(.0003802 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 26.163591 *Rank of the months of December Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 2006 * 14.84 * * 0.828 * * 2.58 2003 * 14.76 * * 0.748 * * 2.33 2005 * 14.72 * * 0.708 * * 2.21 1998 * 14.70 * * 0.688 * * 2.15 2004 * 14.65 * * 0.638 * * 1.99 2001 * 14.63 * * 0.618 * * 1.93 2007 * 14.61 * * 0.598 * * 1.87 2008 * 14.57 * * 0.558 * * 1.74 -- 1997 * 14.53 * * 0.518 * * 1.62 1987 * 14.48 * * 0.468 * * 1.46 1990 * 14.47 * * 0.458 * * 1.43 1979 * 14.46 * * 0.448 * * 1.40 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.438 * * 1.37 MEAN * 14.012 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1908 * 13.67 * *-0.342 * *-1.07 1933 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32 1920 * 13.59 * *-0.422 * *-1.32 1903 * 13.58 * *-0.432 * *-1.35 1909 * 13.55 * *-0.462 * *-1.44 1893 * 13.51 * *-0.502 * *-1.57 1929 * 13.50 * *-0.512 * *-1.60 1892 * 13.47 * *-0.542 * *-1.69 1902 * 13.45 * *-0.562 * *-1.75 1910 * 13.41 * *-0.602 * *-1.88 1907 * 13.39 * *-0.622 * *-1.94 1916 * 13.26 * *-0.752 * *-2.35 1884 * 13.14 * *-0.872 * *-2.72 1917 * 13.13 * *-0.882 * *-2.75 The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: * -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. *They actually think it has been warm. *Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? *They have made it a habit. BTW, they CANNOT correct for the urban heat island effect when they think a station next to an AC exhaust will produce good data. *They think that stations adjacent to hot asphalt give good data.- Hide quoted text - Consider this: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/project...Nature2004.pdf Fran |
#7
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![]() "Frogwatch" wrote in message ... On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. They actually think it has been warm. Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? They have made it a habit. Why do such inane snipes remind me of a frog in a pot. Take a good look at the link that was provided above, specifically the graph showing the global average temperature anomaly from 1975 to 2007, relative to the 1961-1990 average. . Where is the cooling? Quote: In La Niña years - when cold water rises to the surface of the Pacific Ocean - temperatures can be considerably colder than normal. Volcanic eruptions can also cause temporary drops in global temperatures because of huge amounts of dust thrown high into the atmosphere that reduce the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface. A La Nina was present throughout 2007 and much of 2008; despite this temporary cooling, 2008 is currently the tenth warmest in the global record. Quote: As a result of such fluctuations, global average temperature trends calculated over ten-year periods have varied since the mid-1970s, from a modest cooling to a warming rate of more than 0.3 °C per decade. Similar behaviour is also seen in individual model predictions of future climate change where the long-term warming trend is forecast to exceed 2 °C per century. Even then, due to the natural variations in climate, we expect to see ten-year periods both globally and regionally with little or no warming and other ten-year periods with very rapid warming. This complex behaviour of the climate system shows why we need to examine much longer periods than ten years if we are to fully understand and quantify how the climate is changing. Jumping on short term coolings to deny AGW shows a large degree of ignorance. It's a little bit like saying the day's not so hot everytime the sun goes behind a cloud. |
#8
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![]() "Roger Coppock" wrote in message ... 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record snip NASA N(ever) A S(traight) A(nswer) My mother worked for NASA for 30 years, she had stories about what they announced and why. They WILL do anything for funding! |
#9
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![]() "sshea" wrote in message ... "Frogwatch" wrote in message ... On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. They actually think it has been warm. Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? They have made it a habit. Why do such inane snipes remind me of a frog in a pot. Take a good look at the link that was provided above, specifically the graph showing the global average temperature anomaly from 1975 to 2007, relative to the 1961-1990 average. . Where is the cooling? Quote: In La Niña years - when cold water rises to the surface of the Pacific Ocean - temperatures can be considerably colder than normal. Volcanic eruptions can also cause temporary drops in global temperatures because of huge amounts of dust thrown high into the atmosphere that reduce the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface. A La Nina was present throughout 2007 and much of 2008; despite this temporary cooling, 2008 is currently the tenth warmest in the global record. Quote: As a result of such fluctuations, global average temperature trends calculated over ten-year periods have varied since the mid-1970s, from a modest cooling to a warming rate of more than 0.3 °C per decade. Similar behaviour is also seen in individual model predictions of future climate change where the long-term warming trend is forecast to exceed 2 °C per century. Even then, due to the natural variations in climate, we expect to see ten-year periods both globally and regionally with little or no warming and other ten-year periods with very rapid warming. This complex behaviour of the climate system shows why we need to examine much longer periods than ten years if we are to fully understand and quantify how the climate is changing. Jumping on short term coolings to deny AGW shows a large degree of ignorance. It's a little bit like saying the day's not so hot everytime the sun goes behind a cloud. My air conditioner thermostat does not lie. Useage prior to the fall has decreased by a month for the 3 years. Hmmm,,,go figure.. You can deny global cooling all you want, but my A/C tells the truth. |
#10
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On Jan 25, 10:05 pm, "GeekBoy" wrote:
"sshea" wrote in message ... "Frogwatch" wrote in message .... On Jan 25, 6:48 pm, Roger Coppock wrote: 8th warmest December in 129 years of the NASA global ground record In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the Earth over the last 129 years. Yes, the data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The most recent 193 continuous months, or 16 years and 1 months, on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1548 months of data on this data set: -- 755 of them are at or above the norm. -- 793 of them are below the norm. This run of 193 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Neither Roger nor NASA types must get outside much. They actually think it has been warm. Rog, any chance they screwed up this data too? They have made it a habit. Why do such inane snipes remind me of a frog in a pot. Take a good look at the link that was provided above, specifically the graph showing the global average temperature anomaly from 1975 to 2007, relative to the 1961-1990 average. . Where is the cooling? Quote: In La Niña years - when cold water rises to the surface of the Pacific Ocean - temperatures can be considerably colder than normal. Volcanic eruptions can also cause temporary drops in global temperatures because of huge amounts of dust thrown high into the atmosphere that reduce the amount of sunlight that reaches the surface. A La Nina was present throughout 2007 and much of 2008; despite this temporary cooling, 2008 is currently the tenth warmest in the global record. Quote: As a result of such fluctuations, global average temperature trends calculated over ten-year periods have varied since the mid-1970s, from a modest cooling to a warming rate of more than 0.3 °C per decade. Similar behaviour is also seen in individual model predictions of future climate change where the long-term warming trend is forecast to exceed 2 °C per century. Even then, due to the natural variations in climate, we expect to see ten-year periods both globally and regionally with little or no warming and other ten-year periods with very rapid warming. This complex behaviour of the climate system shows why we need to examine much longer periods than ten years if we are to fully understand and quantify how the climate is changing. Jumping on short term coolings to deny AGW shows a large degree of ignorance. It's a little bit like saying the day's not so hot everytime the sun goes behind a cloud. My air conditioner thermostat does not lie. Useage prior to the fall has decreased by a month for the 3 years. Hmmm,,,go figure.. You can deny global cooling all you want, but my A/C tells the truth. I happen to live in FL where it was a seriously cold Dec. My in-laws live in N. IL where it was a seriously cold Dec, they say the coldest since 1979. In AK is was a very cold Dec.. So we seem to have a very large geographical distribution to very cold weather. NASA also, has had a few problems with their data set, like having it be off by over a month in the Fall. NASA can not be considered a reliable source anymore. Real life experience trumps theory and real life says Dec was cold over most of the world. AGW is nonsense concocted by people who think it'll get them more funding for studies. |
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