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"Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was
spotless." Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 01 Mar 2009 STATUS REPORT Date Released: Sunday, March 1, 2009 Source: Space Environment Center (NOAA) Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity Issued: 2009 Mar 01 2200 UTC Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 060 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Mar 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (02 - 03 March). Activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels on day 3 (04 March) with a chance for active levels due to a coronal hole high-speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Mar 069 Predicted 02 Mar-04 Mar 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 01 Mar 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Mar 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 005/005-005/005-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Mar-04 Mar A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/10/15 Minor storm 01/01/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/15/20 Minor storm 01/05/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/05 |
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