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Old March 6th 09, 06:19 AM posted to sci.environment,sci.physics,alt.culture.alaska,sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Mar 2009

"Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was
spotless."

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Mar 2009

STATUS REPORT
Date Released: Thursday, March 5, 2009
Source: Space Environment Center (NOAA)

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Mar 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 064 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was
spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Geomagnetic field
activity was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected
to be at mostly quiet levels during the forecast period (06 - 08 March).

III. Event Probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar

Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed 05 Mar 069
Predicted 06 Mar-08 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 Mar 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 04 Mar 005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Mar 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01


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