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Old April 20th 09, 06:47 AM posted to sci.environment,sci.physics,alt.culture.alaska,sci.geo.meteorology
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Default Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 109 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2009

"Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk
remains spotless."

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Apr 19 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 109 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE
spacecraft show solar wind speeds gradually decayed through the
period from about 540 km/s to near 450 km/s as the coronal hole high
speed stream waned.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for 20 April. Quiet to unsettled levels
are expected for 21 - 22 April due to a recurrent enhancement in
solar wind velocities.
III. Event Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Apr 070
Predicted 20 Apr-22 Apr 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 19 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Apr 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 005/005-008/008-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/15/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/15/10
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01



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