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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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"Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk
remains spotless." :Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 2009 Apr 19 2201 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 109 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk remains spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE spacecraft show solar wind speeds gradually decayed through the period from about 540 km/s to near 450 km/s as the coronal hole high speed stream waned. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for 20 April. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for 21 - 22 April due to a recurrent enhancement in solar wind velocities. III. Event Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 19 Apr 070 Predicted 20 Apr-22 Apr 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 19 Apr 070 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 18 Apr 008/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Apr 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 005/005-008/008-007/007 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/15/10 Minor storm 01/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/15/10 Minor storm 01/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 |
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