"Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk was
spotless."

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2009 May 05 2201 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 125 Issued at 2200Z on 05 May 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active
levels at high latitudes, on days one and two (06 - 07 May) due to a
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Predominantly quiet levels
are expected on day three (08 May) as the effects of the high speed
stream decrease.

III. Event Probabilities 06 May-08 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 May 068
Predicted 06 May-08 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 May 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 May 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 May 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 May-08 May 010/012-007/008-005/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 May-08 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/25/10
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01