Bonzo snips the truth, and substitutes his lie.

On May 18, 6:18*pm, "ozonb" wrote:
"Roger Coppock" wrote in message

...

April is 8th warmest on NASA's 130-year long global land record.

And that's BEFORE adjusting for UHI!


NO BONSO, YOU ARE WRONG AGAIN!
These figures are after a UHI correction.
My original post, which you snipped, says so.
(I've restored what you sniped below.)

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 130 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean April temperature over the last 130 years is 14.016 C.
The Variance is 0.10381.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3222.

Rxy 0.7256 Rxy^2 0.5264
TEMP = 13.60751 + (0.006229 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 142.292826
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999 (21 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of April in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.417,
yet it was 14.61. - It's above the trend.
Therefore, global warming continues its slow acceleration.
Please see:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/hadSlope1850-2008.jpg

The sum of the absolute errors to the linear fit is 23.012995

Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.611243 * e^(.0004429 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 22.952779

Rank of the months of April
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2007 14.79 0.774 2.40
2005 14.75 0.734 2.28
2002 14.73 0.714 2.22
1998 14.69 0.674 2.09
2004 14.65 0.634 1.97
1991 14.64 0.624 1.94
2000 14.62 0.604 1.88
2009 14.61 0.594 1.85 --
2006 14.58 0.564 1.75
1990 14.58 0.564 1.75
2003 14.57 0.554 1.72
2008 14.52 0.504 1.57
1995 14.46 0.444 1.38
1981 14.45 0.434 1.35
MEAN 14.016 0.000 0.00
1964 13.63 -0.386 -1.20
1911 13.62 -0.396 -1.23
1887 13.61 -0.406 -1.26
1918 13.60 -0.416 -1.29
1907 13.60 -0.416 -1.29
1896 13.59 -0.426 -1.32
1885 13.55 -0.466 -1.44
1917 13.54 -0.476 -1.48
1894 13.54 -0.476 -1.48
1903 13.52 -0.496 -1.54
1895 13.50 -0.516 -1.60
1909 13.45 -0.566 -1.76
1891 13.37 -0.646 -2.00
1892 13.29 -0.726 -2.25
1884 13.28 -0.736 -2.28

The most recent 197 continuous months, or 16 years and 5 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1552 months of data on this data set:
-- 767 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 785 of them are below the norm.
This run of 197 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.