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The problem with Bonzo's post is that it doesn't quantify
anything. CO2 is significant. The heat energy trapped by mankind's increasing CO2 since the industrial revolution traps the equivalent of ~800 megatons per hour. That's the energy of the entire US nuclear arsenal in three hours, every hour, 24 hours a day, and 365 days a year. The references and calculation for this statement are given bwlow. ---- Anthropogenic Radiative Forcings ---- in Watts per Meter squared and Megatons TNT per unit time -- for formulas, please see: -- http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/222.htm -- Brasseur, Guy P. Et al, "Atmospheric Chemistry and Global Change," -- 1999, Oxford University Press. -- for data, please see: -- Mauna Loa CO2 -- ftp://ftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/ccg/co2/trends/co2_mm_mlo.txt InitialCO2=280 FinalCO2=390 -- CO2 CO2=5.35*ln(FinalCO2/InitialCO2) CO2:1.77 -- Two other formulas give slightly different values. 4.841*ln(FinalCO2/InitialCO2)+0.0906*(sqrt(FinalCO2)-sqrt(InitialCO2)): 1.88 g(C)=ln(1+1.2*C+0.005*C*C+1.4E-6*C*C*C) 3.35*(g(FinalCO2)-g(InitialCO2)):1.83 -- The total CO2 greenhouse gas -- forcing in Watts per Meter squared is TotalForcing = CO2 TotalForcing:1.77 ---- Radiative Forcings in Megatons TNT -- The diameter of the Earth is ~12756000 M. -- Please see: http://pds.jpl.nasa.gov/planets/special/earth.htm ERadius = 12756000/2 ERadius:6.38e+06 -- The surface area of the Earth is EArea = 4*ð*ERadius^2 EArea:5.11e+14 -- The total power trapped by greenhouse gases in Watts. EArea*TotalForcing:9.06e+14 -- The energy of 1 Megaton of TNT = 1.16111E12 Watt Hours. Please see: -- http://www.efunda.com/units/convert_...0&InputValue=1 WattHoursPerMegaton = 1.16111E12 WattHoursPerMegaton:1.16e+12 GlobalWarmingMegatonsHour=EArea*TotalForcing/WattHoursPerMegaton GlobalWarmingMegatonsHour:780 GlobalWarmingMegatonsDay = GlobalWarmingMegatonsHour*24 GlobalWarmingMegatonsDay:1.87e+04 GlobalWarmingMegatonsYear = GlobalWarmingMegatonsDay*365.26 GlobalWarmingMegatonsYear:6.84e+06 -- GlobalWarmingWattHoursYear EArea*TotalForcing*24*365.26:7.94e+18 On May 19, 9:42*pm, "ozonb" wrote: May 15 2009 I look at the Earth with the oceans and air as a single entity obstructing the flow of energy from the sun. Short wave solar energy hits the Earth, some gets absorbed by Earth, oceans and air and is then radiated out as long wave energy. In the course of that process heat energy is released around the planet and radiated out with the rest of the electromagnetic energy received from the sun. The shift from short wave to long wave is just like the reduction in voltage as a current passes through a resistor thereby generating heat. That entire process, taken as a whole, sets the so called equilibrium temperature of the planet. The air is a contributor to the equilibrium temperature albeit miniscule as against the effect of the oceans. CO2 is a contributor to the equilibrium temperature albeit miniscule as against the effect of the air. |
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