Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
![]() |
|
sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
Reply |
|
LinkBack | Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]()
World's been fooled
Global warming hypothesis doesn't meet basic test of science By TIM BALL, Special to Sun Media Last Updated: 21st May 2009, 3:17pm The idea human production of CO2 is causing global warming or climate change is the biggest deception in history. That statement was once met with incredulity. How could the entire world or a majority of scientists be fooled? Now, after almost complete collapse of the global financial system, people realize the world can be fooled. Yes, a few warned of the dangers, but were easily marginalized as skeptics and naysayers by those making large sums of money in a falsely booming economy. The anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis proposed in the 1980s claimed global temperature would rise because of human addition of CO2 to the atmosphere. Like all scientific hypotheses it is based on assumptions. These a CO2 is a greenhouse gas that slows the rate at which heat escapes to space; as atmospheric CO2 increases it causes temperature to rise; and CO2 levels will increase because of human burning of fossil fuels. Unlike most scientific hypotheses, it was accepted as fact almost immediately. Normal scientific procedures of disproving hypotheses by showing the assumptions were wrong were marginalized. Scientists who challenged were called skeptics, which is silly because all scientists are naturally skeptics. They were called climate change deniers with all the holocaust connotations. Most, like myself, knew how much climate changes naturally and worked to inform people -- anything but climate change deniers. Instead of trying to disprove the hypothesis, most funding came from government and was directed to proving it. Worse, government agencies at all levels from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the UN, down to individual departments, accepted the hypothesis as proven. Environment Canada was in the forefront, accepting and actively pushing it clearly without understanding. The process was aided by mainstream media who, without understanding the science, allowed their political bias to dominate. The consensus was reached before the research had even begun. While this seriously hampered the scientific method, it didn't block it. The most important assumption fundamental to the entire hypothesis is the exact opposite in reality -- temperature changes before CO2 in every record of any duration for any time period. That alone is sufficient to reject the hypothesis, however, there is another serious problem. Every prediction of future temperatures made by the computer models based on the hypothesis are wrong. Most recently they predicted temperature would continue to rise in the 21st century, but it has declined in the first nine years even though CO2 levels have risen. Science is simply defined as the ability to predict, so the hypothesis does not meet this basic test. The science isn't settled except that we know CO2 is not causing warming or climate change and is not a pollutant. A few scientists, driven by their political bias, continue to argue CO2 is the cause. Tolstoy encapsulated another reason over 100 years ago when he wrote: "I know that most men, including those at ease with problems of the greatest complexity, can seldom accept even the simplest and most obvious truth if it be such as would oblige them to admit the falsity of conclusions which they delighted in explaining to colleagues, which they have proudly taught to others, and which they have woven, thread by thread, into the fabric of their lives." But the scientific evidence has had little impact on the politics of the issue. Governments everywhere plan to reduce CO2. This exposes the degree to which climate science and CO2 are a political issue. We have politicians who don't understand the science but want to appear to be doing the right environmental thing. Many of them see the tax potential and push carbon taxes under their cloak of green. Ironically, events are bringing the madness into perspective for the public. The downturn in the economy has put warming or climate change at the bottom of lists of concerns. Even those who don't understand the science see the illogic in claims the colder weather was due to warming. Prediction failures are no surprise because of familiarity with inaccuracy of weather forecasts even two days ahead. Then there is the cooling, which solid scientific evidence expects will continue as solar activity declines. Despite this, because of the great deception, governments plan for warming. DR. BALL HOLDS A PHD IN CLIMATOLOGY FROM QUEEN MARY COLLEGE, UNIVERSITY OF LONDON, ENGLAND. HE WILL SPEAK AT A FRIENDS OF SCIENCE LUNCHEON IN CALGARY TOMORROW. WWW.FRIENDSOFSCIENCE.ORG |
#3
![]() |
|||
|
|||
![]() |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Forum | |||
The Great Global Warming Blunder: How Mother Nature Fooled the World's Top Climate Scientists | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
The Earth Has In Fact Been Cooling and the German Army has Never Been Defeated | sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) | |||
Anyone fooled on Saturday? | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Sunday's 12Z temps: how long since it's been this low in October? | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) | |||
Has heathrow been beaten? | uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) |