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#21
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Jerry Okamura wrote:
"Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Why, is it your belief that no money is involved? lol |
#22
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Jerry Okamura wrote:
"Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Eric Gisin wrote: http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view...le=9075&page=0 By Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks and Bill Kininmonth. HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW Can't refute what was said? See alt.global-warming for previous extended debunkings of each issue, and evidence damning each denialist liar. It is a whole lot better to directly refute what was said, then to reference what someone else said. It is a whole lot better to do some introductory reading about the issue than to come onto a science group pretending that those of us who are intinmately familiar with it need to respond to crackpot lie articles when all the information has been posted repeatedly here. Let me give you a quick example, based on the first of these "tough questions" from the article: "Is it the case that CO2 increased by 5 per cent since 1998 whilst global temperature cooled over the same period? (In fact, it did not, until 2007-08. This is one of the article's lies.) If so, why did the temperature not increase; and how can human emissions be to blame for dangerous levels of warming?" Now, that was posed by four supposed climate authorities, yes? Now, how often has the first answer been discussed in this group? 1,710 results in Google: http://tinyurl.com/nzp2jf How often on the web? About 320,000 times, says Google: http://tinyurl.com/lu82y8 So, do you feel dumber not knowing the answer yourself when everyone else who is interested does, or dumber for trusting four supposed climate experts who are pretending they don't in order to dupe you? Here's the answer, BTW. http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008-231 |
#23
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On Jun 24, 3:11*am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote:
"Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Again, you miss the point. What are the *relevant* statistics is the issue. Just citing any thing that looks like a statistic either tells us nothing of interest or may not mean what someone lacking statistical insight infers it means. As far as I can tell, the *relevant* statistics amply support the theory, but the deniers want to bring other statistics to the table -- some of them plainly dodgy and base their disagreement on that. Fran |
#24
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That is much better.
"Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Eric Gisin wrote: http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view...le=9075&page=0 By Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks and Bill Kininmonth. HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW Can't refute what was said? See alt.global-warming for previous extended debunkings of each issue, and evidence damning each denialist liar. It is a whole lot better to directly refute what was said, then to reference what someone else said. It is a whole lot better to do some introductory reading about the issue than to come onto a science group pretending that those of us who are intinmately familiar with it need to respond to crackpot lie articles when all the information has been posted repeatedly here. Let me give you a quick example, based on the first of these "tough questions" from the article: "Is it the case that CO2 increased by 5 per cent since 1998 whilst global temperature cooled over the same period? (In fact, it did not, until 2007-08. This is one of the article's lies.) If so, why did the temperature not increase; and how can human emissions be to blame for dangerous levels of warming?" Now, that was posed by four supposed climate authorities, yes? Now, how often has the first answer been discussed in this group? 1,710 results in Google: http://tinyurl.com/nzp2jf How often on the web? About 320,000 times, says Google: http://tinyurl.com/lu82y8 So, do you feel dumber not knowing the answer yourself when everyone else who is interested does, or dumber for trusting four supposed climate experts who are pretending they don't in order to dupe you? Here's the answer, BTW. http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008-231 |
#25
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![]() "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Why, is it your belief that no money is involved? lol Money is involved in both cases, so since money is involved in both cases, my question stands. Money influcences those who believe in the theory, and money influcences those who do not believe in the theory. |
#26
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![]() "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 24, 3:11 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Again, you miss the point. What are the *relevant* statistics is the issue. Just citing any thing that looks like a statistic either tells us nothing of interest or may not mean what someone lacking statistical insight infers it means. As far as I can tell, the *relevant* statistics amply support the theory, but the deniers want to bring other statistics to the table -- some of them plainly dodgy and base their disagreement on that. No statistics are just statistics. Statistics can be used to support the theory and statistics can be used to prove the theory is wrong. The "relevant" question is which statistics are correct. But in the end, it really does not matter who is right or who is wrong. Time will tell who is right and who is wrong, because the reality is, no one is going to really do what is required to prevent the event from happening. So, if the theory is right, it WILL happen, and if the theory is wrong it WILL NOT happen. |
#27
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On Jun 24, 12:16*pm, "Jerry Okamura"
wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 24, 3:11 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Again, you miss the point. What are the *relevant* statistics is the issue. Just citing any thing that looks like a statistic either tells us nothing of interest or may not mean what someone lacking statistical insight infers it means. As far as I can tell, the *relevant* statistics amply support the theory, but the deniers want to bring other statistics to the table -- some of them plainly dodgy and base their disagreement on that. No statistics are just statistics. *Statistics can be used to support the theory and statistics can be used to prove the theory is wrong. *The "relevant" question is which statistics are correct. * This is where you are going wrong, consistently. Both sets of statistics *could* be correct but only one set might be pertinent. For example, if I examined a poll in order to help decide who was winning an election contest, and one poll turned out to be a sample in which a handful of people were sampled in a place where there was a serious risk of data bias (eg too many of one type of person; one party aloyalty) and the other had been conducted on a much larger scale and the poll participants selected to reflect the likely composition of the voter pool, then the latter might be a good guide while the former would be unreliable, even though both sets of results could be accurate. But in the end, it really does not matter who is right or who is wrong. * Yes it does, because if the wrong set of policies are followed people will be worse off than was imposed by circumstances beyond our control. Time will tell who is right and who is wrong, because the reality is, no one is going to really do what is required to prevent the event from happening. * That's not clear at all. You could be right, and indeed, I suspect that it will be a case of too little too late, but that is after all, one of the reasons that these debates are often so intense. Those of us who care about the fate of our descendents are very keen to ensure that mitigation is done on the right scale at the right time, and the cultural warriors on the other side are determined to stymie all action and damn the consequences. So, if the theory is right, it WILL happen, and if the theory is wrong it WILL NOT happen That's pure fatalism -- and not how humans work. Rational people try to foreclose disasters. Fran |
#28
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Jerry Okamura wrote:
"Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Why, is it your belief that no money is involved? lol Money is involved in both cases, so since money is involved in both cases, my question stands. Money influcences those who believe in the theory, and money influcences those who do not believe in the theory. Thanks, but that just makes your question more stupid. |
#29
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Jerry Okamura wrote:
"Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 24, 3:11 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: "Fran" wrote in message ... On Jun 23, 9:17 am, "Jerry Okamura" wrote: What has statistics got to do with the question? If you have to ask ... sigh anyhoo ... Interpreting the data so that it is meaningful demands a grasp of climate-pertinent statistics. If you aren't aware of what is relevant and what is not you might think that climate included the difference in temperature happening on a single day. The proposers cited by the OP took data made noisy by El Nino, and La Nina and the movement in the solar cycle and tried to pretend this was "climate" so as to pose their question. "If" the statistics clearly supported the theory, there would be no disagreement about the theory would it? Again, you miss the point. What are the *relevant* statistics is the issue. Just citing any thing that looks like a statistic either tells us nothing of interest or may not mean what someone lacking statistical insight infers it means. As far as I can tell, the *relevant* statistics amply support the theory, but the deniers want to bring other statistics to the table -- some of them plainly dodgy and base their disagreement on that. No statistics are just statistics. Statistics can be used to support the theory and statistics can be used to prove the theory is wrong. Nope. The "relevant" question is which statistics are correct. But in the end, it really does not matter who is right or who is wrong. It will matter to billions. |
#30
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Jerry Okamura wrote:
That is much better. Perhaps, but all you really need to know is: By Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks and Bill Kininmonth. Not scientific, perhaps, but effective filtering nonetheless. "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Jerry Okamura wrote: "Ouroboros Rex" wrote in message ... Eric Gisin wrote: http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view...le=9075&page=0 By Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks and Bill Kininmonth. HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW HAW Can't refute what was said? See alt.global-warming for previous extended debunkings of each issue, and evidence damning each denialist liar. It is a whole lot better to directly refute what was said, then to reference what someone else said. It is a whole lot better to do some introductory reading about the issue than to come onto a science group pretending that those of us who are intinmately familiar with it need to respond to crackpot lie articles when all the information has been posted repeatedly here. Let me give you a quick example, based on the first of these "tough questions" from the article: "Is it the case that CO2 increased by 5 per cent since 1998 whilst global temperature cooled over the same period? (In fact, it did not, until 2007-08. This is one of the article's lies.) If so, why did the temperature not increase; and how can human emissions be to blame for dangerous levels of warming?" Now, that was posed by four supposed climate authorities, yes? Now, how often has the first answer been discussed in this group? 1,710 results in Google: http://tinyurl.com/nzp2jf How often on the web? About 320,000 times, says Google: http://tinyurl.com/lu82y8 So, do you feel dumber not knowing the answer yourself when everyone else who is interested does, or dumber for trusting four supposed climate experts who are pretending they don't in order to dupe you? Here's the answer, BTW. http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2008-231 |
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