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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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#1
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jim "sjedgingN0Sp"@m@mwt,net wrote:
Last Post wrote: The high price of oil in the past few years was created by speculators that gambled that there would be a shortage, and encouraged by the Saudi OPEC honcho, boosted the futures market. The high price of oil was caused by oil consumers who are suffering from a social disorder. Consumers have become completely unable to regulate their consumption. That is one of the symptoms of a bingeing disorder. Wrong. The high price of oil is caused by SPECULATIVE TRADING. http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=8878 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/business/08cftc.html?_r=1&hp The "real" oil price is under US$40/bbl ... If it were sustained any higher, then alternative sources of oil become financially viable. Oil from shale is viable at less than US$60/bbl ... if the price is sustained and at that level due to real world (non-speculative) market forces. "Oil" from coal is viable at (probably much) less than US$100/bbl. -- /"\ Bernd Felsche - Innovative Reckoning, Perth, Western Australia \ / ASCII ribbon campaign | The growth of knowledge depends X against HTML mail | entirely on disagreement. / \ and postings | -- Karl Popper |
#2
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![]() Bernd Felsche wrote: jim "sjedgingN0Sp"@m@mwt,net wrote: Last Post wrote: The high price of oil in the past few years was created by speculators that gambled that there would be a shortage, and encouraged by the Saudi OPEC honcho, boosted the futures market. The high price of oil was caused by oil consumers who are suffering from a social disorder. Consumers have become completely unable to regulate their consumption. That is one of the symptoms of a bingeing disorder. Wrong. The high price of oil is caused by SPECULATIVE TRADING. http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=8878 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/business/08cftc.html?_r=1&hp The "real" oil price is under US$40/bbl ... If it were sustained any higher, then alternative sources of oil become financially viable. Oil from shale is viable at less than US$60/bbl ... if the price is sustained and at that level due to real world (non-speculative) market forces. "Oil" from coal is viable at (probably much) less than US$100/bbl. The value of oil is what consumers are willing to pay for it. That means in today's world the real value of oil would be probably around $400-$500 a barrel ofr even more. At somewhere around that price point consumers would start to withdraw from the market and supply and demand would become stable and thus the price would stabilize and remain steady. So why hasn't the price risen to that level which is the amount consumers would be willing to pay? The answer is the world would become a very ugly place if millions of oil addicts were put in that position. Oil addicts would be selling their children to pay for their oil fix.... well we don't even want to think about what would happen do we? The price of oil is clearly being manipulated by powerful world political forces. There is no doubt about it. But the price is not being held high - it is being held artificially low. Whether you know it or not the political forces that be know it. They understand the terrible consequences that would ensue if pure market forces were allowed to take over. You have created a story that the "real oil price" is somewhere between $40-$60 per barrel not by any rational economic analysis, but by a social analysis. You conclude that at %50/barrel you could feed your addiction to oil without suffering any functional impairment. I think that is probably correct. I think you are absolutely right that if we could have an infinite supply of oil at $50/brl, then oil addiction wouldn't be a big problem. But unfortunately your story is a fairy tale. You can't just say that oil will be $50 abarrel and it will last for ever and everybody will live happily ever after. It just simply is not sustainable view to the future. And at some point your fairy tale will have a very bad ending and people won't live happily ever after. -jim -- /"\ Bernd Felsche - Innovative Reckoning, Perth, Western Australia \ / ASCII ribbon campaign | The growth of knowledge depends X against HTML mail | entirely on disagreement. / \ and postings | -- Karl Popper |
#3
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On Jul 9, 9:01Â*am, jim "sjedgingN0Sp"@m@mwt,net wrote:
Bernd Felsche wrote: jim "sjedgingN0Sp"@m@mwt,net wrote: Last Post wrote: Â* Â* Â* The high price of oil in the past few years was Â* Â* created by speculators that gambled that there would Â* Â* be a shortage, and encouraged by the Saudi OPEC Â* Â* honcho, boosted the futures market. The high price of oil was caused by oil consumers who are suffering from a social disorder. Consumers have become completely unable to regulate their consumption. That is one of the symptoms of a bingeing disorder. Wrong. The high price of oil is caused by SPECULATIVE TRADING. http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=8878 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/business/08cftc.html?_r=1&hp The "real" oil price is under US$40/bbl ... If it were sustained any higher, then alternative sources of oil become financially viable. Oil from shale is viable at less than US$60/bbl ... if the price is sustained and at that level due to real world (non-speculative) market forces. "Oil" from coal is viable at (probably much) less than US$100/bbl. The value of oil is what consumers are willing to pay for it. That means in today's world the real value of oil would be probably around $400-$500 a barrel ofr even more. At somewhere around that price point consumers would start to withdraw from the market and supply and demand would become stable and thus the price would stabilize and remain steady. So why hasn't the price risen to that level which is the amount consumers would be willing to pay? The answer is the world would become a very ugly place if millions of oil addicts were put in that position. Oil addicts would be selling their children to pay for their oil fix.... well we don't even want to think about what would happen do we? Â* Â* Â* Â* The price of oil is clearly being manipulated by powerful world political forces. There is no doubt about it. But the price is not being held high - it is being held artificially low. Whether you know it or not the political forces that be know it. They understand the terrible consequences that would ensue if pure market forces were allowed to take over. Â* Â* Â* Â* Â*You have created a story that the "real oil price" is somewhere between $40-$60 per barrel not by any rational economic analysis, but by a social analysis. You conclude that at %50/barrel you could feed your addiction to oil without suffering any functional impairment. I think that is probably correct. I think you are absolutely right that if we could have an infinite supply of oil at $50/brl, then oil addiction wouldn't be a big problem. But unfortunately your story is a fairy tale. You can't just say that oil will be $50 abarrel and it will last for ever and everybody will live happily ever after. Â* Â* Â* Â* It just simply is not sustainable view to the future. And at some point your fairy tale will have a very bad ending and people won't live happily ever after. •• Kindly clean up your manure before you post. •• What has the price of oil to do with sea levels in the Maldives? Nothing!! Do try to stay on topic and keep up. –– –– There are three types of people that you can_not_talk into behaving well. The stupid, the religious fanatic, and the evil. 1-The stupid aren't smart enough to follow the logic of what you say. You have to tell them what is right in very simple terms. If they don't agree, then you'll never be able to change their mind. 2- the religious fanatic 
If what you say goes against their religious belief, they will cling to that religious belief even if it means their death." 3- There is no way to reform evil- Not in a million years 
There is no way to convince the terrorists, anthropogenic global warming alarmists, serial killers, paedophiles, and predators to change their evil ways. They knew what they were doing was wrong, but that knowledge didn't stop them. It only made them more careful in how they went about performing their evil acts. |
#4
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![]() Last Post wrote: What has the price of oil to do with sea levels in the Maldives? Nothing!! Do try to stay on topic and keep up. Ah, a moment of clarity. Is the gasoline soaked rag you have been sucking on beginning to dry out? Your sudden interest in discussing the Maldives is a bit of a surprise. All I see in your previous posts is a lot of whining about speculators driving up the price of oil. -jim |
#5
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On Jul 9, 1:14Â*pm, jim "sjedgingN0Sp"@m@mwt,net wrote:
Last Post wrote: Â* Â* What has the price of oil to do with sea levels Â* Â* in the Maldives? Nothing!! Do try to stay on Â* Â* topic and keep up. Ah, a moment of clarity. Is the gasoline soaked rag you have been sucking on beginning to dry out? Your sudden interest in discussing the Maldives is a bit of a surprise. All I see in your previous posts is a lot of whining about speculators driving up the price of oil. Take your meds and see your shrink in the morning ––Â*–– There are three types of people that you can_not_talk into behaving well. The stupid, the religious fanatic, and the evil. 1-The stupid aren't smart enough to follow the logic of what you say. You have to tell them what is right in very simple terms. If they don't agree, then you'll never be able to change their mind. 2- the religious fanatic 
If what you say goes against their religious belief, they will cling to that religious belief even if it means their death." 3- There is no way to reform evil- Not in a million years 
There is no way to convince the terrorists, anthropogenic global warming alarmists, serial killers, paedophiles, and predators to change their evil ways. They knew what they were doing was wrong, but that knowledge didn't stop them. It only made them more careful in how they went about performing their evil acts. |
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