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Old July 15th 09, 08:24 PM posted to sci.geo.meteorology,alt.energy.renewable,alt.politics.bush,alt.conspiracy
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Default So statistically insignificant, add 1 more year of data, it goes

On Jul 14, 12:11*am, "z0n0b" wrote:
7 Jul 2009

Mathematician Lubos Motl takes on the new UAH data and some current thinking
about slopes in global climate by adding his own perspective and analysis..

UAH: June 2009: anomaly near zero

Global mean temperature according to UAH MSU for the first 8.5 years i.e.
102 months of this century.


Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 29.30206 11.39315 2.57 0.012
YEARMON[K:length(YEARMON)] -0.01450 0.00568 -2.55 0.012

Residual standard error: 0.141 on 100 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.0611, Adjusted R-squared: 0.0517
F-statistic: 6.51 on 1 and 100 DF, p-value: 0.0122

==- Add just one more year of data, 12 points, and it goes away. -==

Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) -2.96855 10.46088 -0.28 0.78
YEARMON[K:length(YEARMON)] 0.00159 0.00522 0.30 0.76

Residual standard error: 0.153 on 112 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.000826, Adjusted R-squared: -0.0081
F-statistic: 0.0925 on 1 and 112 DF, p-value: 0.762


If you want to look at what is really going on, not
another of Bonzo's half truths, here are all the data:

http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/UAH-MSU.jpg

http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/public/m.../tltglhmam_5.2


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