On Tue, 28 Jul 2009 14:29:46 -0700 (PDT), chemist wrote:

On Jul 28, 10:02*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
June Tied for 4th Warmest in the Northern Hemisphere on the 130-year
NASA Record.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA,http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 130 years. *Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean June temperature over the last 130 years is 14.042 C.
The Variance is 0.10993.
The Standard Deviation is 0.3316.

Rxy 0.758883 * Rxy^2 0.575904
TEMP = 13.603063 + (0.006705 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 173.818482
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999 (24 nines), which is darn close to 100%!

The month of June in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.475,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.76.
The sum of the absolute errors is 22.697358

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.608641 * e^(.0004782 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 22.625059

* Rank of the months of June
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
2005 * 14.96 * * 0.918 * * 2.77
2006 * 14.93 * * 0.888 * * 2.68
1998 * 14.87 * * 0.828 * * 2.50
2009 * 14.76 * * 0.718 * * 2.16 -
2007 * 14.76 * * 0.718 * * 2.16
2002 * 14.75 * * 0.708 * * 2.13
2008 * 14.64 * * 0.598 * * 1.80
1995 * 14.64 * * 0.598 * * 1.80
1990 * 14.63 * * 0.588 * * 1.77
2003 * 14.61 * * 0.568 * * 1.71
2001 * 14.61 * * 0.568 * * 1.71
2004 * 14.59 * * 0.548 * * 1.65
1991 * 14.56 * * 0.518 * * 1.56
2000 * 14.52 * * 0.478 * * 1.44
MEAN * 14.042 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1893 * 13.70 * *-0.342 * *-1.03
1886 * 13.67 * *-0.372 * *-1.12
1917 * 13.65 * *-0.392 * *-1.18
1902 * 13.62 * *-0.422 * *-1.27
1888 * 13.61 * *-0.432 * *-1.30
1882 * 13.61 * *-0.432 * *-1.30
1918 * 13.60 * *-0.442 * *-1.33
1894 * 13.60 * *-0.442 * *-1.33
1913 * 13.56 * *-0.482 * *-1.45
1907 * 13.49 * *-0.552 * *-1.67
1903 * 13.48 * *-0.562 * *-1.70
1904 * 13.47 * *-0.572 * *-1.73
1885 * 13.45 * *-0.592 * *-1.79
1881 * 13.32 * *-0.722 * *-2.18
1884 * 13.29 * *-0.752 * *-2.27

The most recent 153 continuous months, or 12 years and 9 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1554 months of data on this data set:
* -- 796 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 758 of them are below the norm.
This run of 153 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.

Not compared with the uncooked global temperatures at
MSU and Hadley

MSU is not a direct measure of surface temperature and Hadley data omits
both polar regions (only the fastest warming regions on earth), and that is
enough to make it biased and unusable as a measure of Global Warming.

--Lee