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#1
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Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.
In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 Rank of the months of August Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.63 0.644 2.66 2003 14.62 0.634 2.62 2006 14.60 0.614 2.53 2005 14.56 0.574 2.37 2007 14.55 0.564 2.33 2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 -- 2001 14.46 0.474 1.96 2002 14.45 0.464 1.92 1996 14.43 0.444 1.83 2004 14.42 0.434 1.79 1991 14.38 0.394 1.63 1995 14.37 0.384 1.59 2008 14.36 0.374 1.54 2000 14.36 0.374 1.54 MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00 1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01 1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06 1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26 1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30 1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34 1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43 1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51 1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55 1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: -- 674 of them are at or above the norm. -- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. |
#2
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On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 Rank of the months of August Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.63 0.644 2.66 2003 14.62 0.634 2.62 2006 14.60 0.614 2.53 2005 14.56 0.574 2.37 2007 14.55 0.564 2.33 2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 -- 2001 14.46 0.474 1.96 2002 14.45 0.464 1.92 1996 14.43 0.444 1.83 2004 14.42 0.434 1.79 1991 14.38 0.394 1.63 1995 14.37 0.384 1.59 2008 14.36 0.374 1.54 2000 14.36 0.374 1.54 MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00 1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01 1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06 1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26 1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30 1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34 1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43 1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51 1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55 1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: -- 674 of them are at or above the norm. -- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Thirty nines? Is that a record? What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs. |
#3
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I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 Rank of the months of August Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.63 0.644 2.66 2003 14.62 0.634 2.62 2006 14.60 0.614 2.53 2005 14.56 0.574 2.37 2007 14.55 0.564 2.33 2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 -- 2001 14.46 0.474 1.96 2002 14.45 0.464 1.92 1996 14.43 0.444 1.83 2004 14.42 0.434 1.79 1991 14.38 0.394 1.63 1995 14.37 0.384 1.59 2008 14.36 0.374 1.54 2000 14.36 0.374 1.54 MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00 1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01 1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06 1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26 1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30 1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34 1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43 1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51 1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55 1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: -- 674 of them are at or above the norm. -- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Thirty nines? Is that a record? What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs. I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence? |
#4
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On Sep 10, 12:52*pm, Tom P wrote:
I M @ good guy wrote: On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 *Rank of the months of August Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66 2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62 2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37 2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33 2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 -- 2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92 1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83 2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79 1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63 1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59 2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01 1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06 1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26 1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30 1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34 1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43 1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51 1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55 1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: *-- 674 of them are at or above the norm. *-- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. * * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record? * * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs. I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence? It must be. Excel isn't half the application that Calc is ;-)) |
#5
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On Sep 10, 6:52*am, Tom P wrote:
I M @ good guy wrote: On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html ••*The Met has already acknowledged that they screw with the numbers These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 *Rank of the months of August Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66 2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62 2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37 2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33 2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 -- 2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92 1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83 2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79 1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63 1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59 2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01 1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06 1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26 1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30 1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34 1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43 1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51 1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55 1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: *-- 674 of them are at or above the norm. *-- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. * •• Except it did not happen except in your imagination It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. * * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record? * * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs. I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence? •• Simply bad book keeping. Those stats screw Tom and Roger every time |
#6
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On Sep 10, 5:29*am, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASAhttp://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed athttp://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Global%20Mean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, * * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 I'm pleased to see you recognise the need for comparative curve fitting in order to verify the growth element in global temperature data, but would it not also be a good idea to fit one or more "declining models" to highlight the coolists' mistakes? How about a regression modelled on (year -1879)^0.95 or similar? * Rank of the months of August Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66 2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62 2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37 2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33 2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 -- 2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92 1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83 2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79 1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63 1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59 2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01 1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06 1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26 1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30 1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34 1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43 1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51 1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55 1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: * -- 674 of them are at or above the norm. * -- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. I think you mean "delay" or perhaps "mask" the warming - nothing is going to stop it. Certainly not taxes, or cap and trade. We need a quick fix right now, one that will act inside the next 25 to 30 years and give us breathing space to advance 'energy' technology. |
#7
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On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 12:52:17 +0200, Tom P wrote:
I M @ good guy wrote: On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 Rank of the months of August Year Temp C Anomaly Z score 1998 14.63 0.644 2.66 2003 14.62 0.634 2.62 2006 14.60 0.614 2.53 2005 14.56 0.574 2.37 2007 14.55 0.564 2.33 2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 -- 2001 14.46 0.474 1.96 2002 14.45 0.464 1.92 1996 14.43 0.444 1.83 2004 14.42 0.434 1.79 1991 14.38 0.394 1.63 1995 14.37 0.384 1.59 2008 14.36 0.374 1.54 2000 14.36 0.374 1.54 MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00 1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01 1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06 1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10 1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14 1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26 1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30 1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34 1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43 1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51 1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55 1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: -- 674 of them are at or above the norm. -- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. Thirty nines? Is that a record? What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs. I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence? I don't know. As far as I know, no computer math chip gives 1.000000000 results, I have only tested some double precision programs. Surely somebody knows, it would be absurd for all statisticians to be thinking all those nines mean anything other than an integer result. |
#8
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On Sep 9, 8:29*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. NASA hasn' existed for 130 years. Needless to say, before 1978 or so, that data is non-NASA, incomplete, unreliabile data- A. McIntire |
#9
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I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. http://tinyurl.com/m44hny |
#10
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On Sep 9, 8:48*pm, "I M @ good guy" wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock wrote: Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data. In the real world, outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies, global mean surface temperatures continue to rise. Please see: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt They represent the results of tens of millions of readings taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be. There are few urban centers in the sea. The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C. The Variance is 0.05870. The Standard Deviation is 0.2423. Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651 TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879)) Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369 Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately 0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to 100%! The month of August in the year 2009, is linearly projected to be 14.322, * * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection, therefore the warming continues to accelerate. The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305 Equal weight exponential least squares fit: TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879)) The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452 *Rank of the months of August Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score 1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66 2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62 2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53 2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37 2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33 2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 -- 2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96 2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92 1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83 2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79 1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63 1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59 2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54 MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00 1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01 1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06 1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10 1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14 1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26 1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30 1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34 1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43 1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51 1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55 1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09 The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months, on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980 data set norm of 14 C. There are 1556 months of data on this data set: *-- 674 of them are at or above the norm. *-- 882 of them are below the norm. This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise expect it to continue. * * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record? * * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line BASIC programs.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Why do you criticize someone for 65,534 line basic program when you can't write one with 65 lines??? |
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