sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 04:29 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2005
Posts: 1,360
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.

Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.63 0.644 2.66
2003 14.62 0.634 2.62
2006 14.60 0.614 2.53
2005 14.56 0.574 2.37
2007 14.55 0.564 2.33
2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 --
2001 14.46 0.474 1.96
2002 14.45 0.464 1.92
1996 14.43 0.444 1.83
2004 14.42 0.434 1.79
1991 14.38 0.394 1.63
1995 14.37 0.384 1.59
2008 14.36 0.374 1.54
2000 14.36 0.374 1.54
MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00
1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01
1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06
1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26
1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34
1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43
1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51
1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55
1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09

The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


  #2   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 04:48 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2009
Posts: 438
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:

Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.

Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.63 0.644 2.66
2003 14.62 0.634 2.62
2006 14.60 0.614 2.53
2005 14.56 0.574 2.37
2007 14.55 0.564 2.33
2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 --
2001 14.46 0.474 1.96
2002 14.45 0.464 1.92
1996 14.43 0.444 1.83
2004 14.42 0.434 1.79
1991 14.38 0.394 1.63
1995 14.37 0.384 1.59
2008 14.36 0.374 1.54
2000 14.36 0.374 1.54
MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00
1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01
1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06
1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26
1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34
1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43
1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51
1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55
1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09

The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


Thirty nines? Is that a record?

What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.





  #3   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 11:52 AM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2009
Posts: 146
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:

Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.

Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.63 0.644 2.66
2003 14.62 0.634 2.62
2006 14.60 0.614 2.53
2005 14.56 0.574 2.37
2007 14.55 0.564 2.33
2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 --
2001 14.46 0.474 1.96
2002 14.45 0.464 1.92
1996 14.43 0.444 1.83
2004 14.42 0.434 1.79
1991 14.38 0.394 1.63
1995 14.37 0.384 1.59
2008 14.36 0.374 1.54
2000 14.36 0.374 1.54
MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00
1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01
1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06
1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26
1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34
1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43
1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51
1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55
1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09

The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


Thirty nines? Is that a record?

What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.



I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence?
  #4   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 12:27 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 272
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Sep 10, 12:52*pm, Tom P wrote:
I M @ good guy wrote:



On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:


Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.


In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html


These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.


The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg


The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.


Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!


The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
* * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305


Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452


*Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66
2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53
2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37
2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33
2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 --
2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96
2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92
1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83
2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79
1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63
1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59
2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01
1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06
1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26
1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30
1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34
1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51
1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55
1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09


The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
*-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
*-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


* * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record?


* * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.


I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence?


It must be. Excel isn't half the application that Calc is ;-))
  #5   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 12:32 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Mar 2009
Posts: 185
Default Last Month was NOT the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASAData.

On Sep 10, 6:52*am, Tom P wrote:
I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:


Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.


In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html


••*The Met has already acknowledged that they screw with the numbers

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.


The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg


The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.


Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!


The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
* * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305


Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452


*Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66
2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53
2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37
2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33
2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 --
2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96
2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92
1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83
2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79
1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63
1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59
2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01
1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06
1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26
1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30
1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34
1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51
1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55
1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09


The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
*-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
*-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *


•• Except it did not happen except in your imagination

It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


* * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record?


* * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.


I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence?


•• Simply bad book keeping.
Those stats screw Tom and Roger every time


  #6   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 12:53 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,sci.skeptic
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2006
Posts: 272
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Sep 10, 5:29*am, Roger Coppock wrote:
Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASAhttp://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed athttp://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Global%20Mean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.

Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
* * * * * * * * *yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452


I'm pleased to see you recognise the need for comparative curve
fitting in order to verify the growth element in global temperature
data, but would it not also be a good idea to fit one or more
"declining models" to highlight the coolists' mistakes? How about a
regression modelled on (year -1879)^0.95 or similar?

* Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66
2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53
2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37
2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33
2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 --
2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96
2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92
1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83
2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79
1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63
1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59
2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01
1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06
1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26
1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30
1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34
1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51
1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55
1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09

The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
* -- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
* -- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


I think you mean "delay" or perhaps "mask" the warming - nothing is
going to stop it. Certainly not taxes, or cap and trade. We need a
quick fix right now, one that will act inside the next 25 to 30 years
and give us breathing space to advance 'energy' technology.
  #7   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 01:50 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2009
Posts: 438
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 12:52:17 +0200, Tom P wrote:

I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:

Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html

These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.

The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg

The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.

Rxy 0.807 Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!

The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452

Rank of the months of August
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
1998 14.63 0.644 2.66
2003 14.62 0.634 2.62
2006 14.60 0.614 2.53
2005 14.56 0.574 2.37
2007 14.55 0.564 2.33
2009 14.51 0.524 2.16 --
2001 14.46 0.474 1.96
2002 14.45 0.464 1.92
1996 14.43 0.444 1.83
2004 14.42 0.434 1.79
1991 14.38 0.394 1.63
1995 14.37 0.384 1.59
2008 14.36 0.374 1.54
2000 14.36 0.374 1.54
MEAN 13.986 0.000 0.00
1884 13.74 -0.246 -1.01
1885 13.73 -0.256 -1.06
1923 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1902 13.72 -0.266 -1.10
1913 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1911 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1892 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1887 13.71 -0.276 -1.14
1904 13.68 -0.306 -1.26
1890 13.67 -0.316 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.326 -1.34
1918 13.64 -0.346 -1.43
1907 13.62 -0.366 -1.51
1903 13.61 -0.376 -1.55
1912 13.48 -0.506 -2.09

The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


Thirty nines? Is that a record?

What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.


I get the same result with Excel and OpenOffice spreadsheets. Coincidence?


I don't know. As far as I know, no computer math
chip gives 1.000000000 results, I have only tested some
double precision programs.

Surely somebody knows, it would be absurd for all
statisticians to be thinking all those nines mean anything
other than an integer result.




  #8   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 02:25 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jun 2007
Posts: 127
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Sep 9, 8:29*pm, Roger Coppock wrote:


Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.


NASA hasn' existed for 130 years. Needless to say, before 1978
or so, that data is non-NASA, incomplete, unreliabile data- A.
McIntire
  #9   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 03:05 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2005
Posts: 204
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

I M @ good guy wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock
wrote:

Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.


http://tinyurl.com/m44hny
  #10   Report Post  
Old September 10th 09, 10:53 PM posted to alt.global-warming,sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology,alt.conspiracy
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Apr 2009
Posts: 65
Default Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.

On Sep 9, 8:48*pm, "I M @ good guy" wrote:
On Wed, 9 Sep 2009 20:29:45 -0700 (PDT), Roger Coppock





wrote:
Last Month was the 6th Warmest August in 130 Years of NASA Data.


In the real world,
outside the fossil fuel industry's spin and lies,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
Please see:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporat...20080923c.html


These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ta...LB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ships around the globe
over the last 130 years. *Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. *The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.


The last 129 yearly means of these data are graphed at
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Glob...ean%20Temp.jpg


The Mean August temperature over the last 130 years is 13.986 C.
The Variance is 0.05870.
The Standard Deviation is 0.2423.


Rxy 0.807 * Rxy^2 0.651
TEMP = 13.64453 + (0.005211 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 128 * * * * F = 239.174369
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.999999999999999999999999999999 (30 nines), which is darn close to
100%!


The month of August in the year 2009,
is linearly projected to be 14.322,
* * * * * * * * yet it was 14.51. -- This is above the projection,
therefore the warming continues to accelerate.
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.97305


Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.647542 * e^(.0003731 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the absolute errors is 14.90452


*Rank of the months of August
Year * Temp C * Anomaly * Z score
1998 * 14.63 * * 0.644 * * 2.66
2003 * 14.62 * * 0.634 * * 2.62
2006 * 14.60 * * 0.614 * * 2.53
2005 * 14.56 * * 0.574 * * 2.37
2007 * 14.55 * * 0.564 * * 2.33
2009 * 14.51 * * 0.524 * * 2.16 --
2001 * 14.46 * * 0.474 * * 1.96
2002 * 14.45 * * 0.464 * * 1.92
1996 * 14.43 * * 0.444 * * 1.83
2004 * 14.42 * * 0.434 * * 1.79
1991 * 14.38 * * 0.394 * * 1.63
1995 * 14.37 * * 0.384 * * 1.59
2008 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
2000 * 14.36 * * 0.374 * * 1.54
MEAN * 13.986 * *0.000 * * 0.00
1884 * 13.74 * *-0.246 * *-1.01
1885 * 13.73 * *-0.256 * *-1.06
1923 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1902 * 13.72 * *-0.266 * *-1.10
1913 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1911 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1892 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1887 * 13.71 * *-0.276 * *-1.14
1904 * 13.68 * *-0.306 * *-1.26
1890 * 13.67 * *-0.316 * *-1.30
1908 * 13.66 * *-0.326 * *-1.34
1918 * 13.64 * *-0.346 * *-1.43
1907 * 13.62 * *-0.366 * *-1.51
1903 * 13.61 * *-0.376 * *-1.55
1912 * 13.48 * *-0.506 * *-2.09


The most recent 186 continuous months, or 15 years and 6 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1556 months of data on this data set:
*-- 674 of them are at or above the norm.
*-- 882 of them are below the norm.
This run of 186 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. *It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. *A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.


* * * * * * Thirty nines? * * *Is that a record?

* * * * * * *What would the world do without the 65,534 line
BASIC programs.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Why do you criticize someone for 65,534 line basic program when you
can't write one with 65 lines???


Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
WARMEST SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE SEPTEMBER IN 130 YEARS OF NASA DATA! Roger Coppock sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 55 November 17th 09 01:06 AM
In the last 130 years of NASA's Northern Hemisphere record, July was7th warmest. Roger Coppock[_2_] sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 8 September 5th 09 02:54 AM
NASA data say, "In the Northern Hemisphere, March was 15thWarmest in 130 Years." Quite Unlikely!!! Last Post sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 0 April 26th 09 02:32 AM
February tied for 13th warmest in last 130 years of the NASA globalrecord. Roger Coppock sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 20 March 16th 09 08:42 PM
January was the 6th warmest on NASA's 130-year global land record. Obama Speaks DOW Tanks sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) 2 February 17th 09 01:47 AM


All times are GMT. The time now is 03:59 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 Weather Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about Weather"

 

Copyright © 2017