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#1
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How about that, skeptics at NASA?
http://www.ecofactory.com/news/noaa-...warming-012910 http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...atervapor.html An increase in atmospheric water vapor is responsible for at least a third of the average temperature increase since the early 1990s, say scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Susan Soloman, the respected climate scientist who lead the research, says that this finding does not undermine man-made global warming theories. "Not to my mind it doesn't," she said. Soloman did point out that the research does allude to human emissions having a much smaller role in climate change than previously thought, and serves as a warning to climate modelers who "over-interpret the results from a few years one way or another." Despite Soloman's personally held belief, the NOAA study is expected to give further ammunition to climate skeptics working to draw public attention to perceived flaws in man-made global warming theories. Soloman, in interviews with both the Associated Press and The Guardian, declined to comment on the negative publicity climate science has received recently due to the IPCC Himalaya error and Climategate, and to what the NOAA water vapor report could mean to skeptics and climate scientists alike. Soloman did mention that many scientists are now accepting, testing, and sometimes embracing skeptic research, and that the NOAA report is proof of that. "What I will say, is that this shows there are climate scientists round the world who are trying very hard to understand and to explain to people openly and honestly what has happened over the last decade." Soloman co-chaired the last climate change assessment report prepared by the United Nations IPCC, but did not personally oversee the controversial Himalayan section. Soloman said it was not clear if the drier atmosphere, which the NOAA report says is the reason global warming fell flat over the last decade, is a natural process or came to be due to human emissions. If the latter is true, carbon dioxide emissions would actually be responsible for a negative feedback that cancels at least some of the warming it causes by pushing water vapor back to the surface of the earth and out of the stratosphere, where it acts as a potent greenhouse gas. According to the report, a 10% decrease in atmospheric water vapor alone was responsible for a 25% drop in predicted temperature increase. NASA Confirms Water Vapor Study NASA researchers and climate scientists around the world have reviewed the NOAA water vapor research in advance to its recent publication in the journal Science, one of the most respected in the world. Describing the effect of water vapor on atmospheric temperature as "enormous," researcher Andrew Dessler said that "everyone agrees that if you add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, then warming will result. The real question is how much warming?" A Texas A&M researcher working in conjunction with NASA, Dessler pointed out that warmer air can contain contain higher amounts of water vapor, which could create a runaway positive feedback cycle. The research, facilitated by a state-of-the-art NASA satellite codenamed AIRS, suggests that water vapor is responsible for twice the global warming effect of carbon dioxide, both man-made and naturally occurring. While this theory was has been carried by climate change skeptics for some time, global warming advocates dismissed them, saying that water vapor in the atmosphere was only a feedback effect caused by human emissions. NASA scientist Eric Fetzer say that the new study created models much more accurate to past events than those previously used by climate change advocates, and proves that "water vapor is the big player in the atmosphere as far as climate is concerned." |
#2
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On Fri, 29 Jan 2010 12:40:05 -0800, "Eric Gisin"
wrote: How about that, skeptics at NASA? http://www.ecofactory.com/news/noaa-...warming-012910 http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...atervapor.html I can't help being concerned about the second url article, did the water vapor change and it took 10 years to figure it out, or did it take that long to figure out how to explain it in terms of Al Gore physics of AGW? Unfortunately it is totally clueless, it still seems to assume that the temperature of the atmosphere 2 meters above the ground is due to "back radiation" from the high troposphere and stratosphere. More water vapor way up there before 1999, and 10 percent less since, causing a "reduction in rate of warming" seems to suggest the official story is going to be a fairy tale about warming. An increase in atmospheric water vapor is responsible for at least a third of the average temperature increase since the early 1990s, say scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Susan Soloman, the respected climate scientist who lead the research, says that this finding does not undermine man-made global warming theories. "Not to my mind it doesn't," she said. Soloman did point out that the research does allude to human emissions having a much smaller role in climate change than previously thought, and serves as a warning to climate modelers who "over-interpret the results from a few years one way or another." Despite Soloman's personally held belief, the NOAA study is expected to give further ammunition to climate skeptics working to draw public attention to perceived flaws in man-made global warming theories. Soloman, in interviews with both the Associated Press and The Guardian, declined to comment on the negative publicity climate science has received recently due to the IPCC Himalaya error and Climategate, and to what the NOAA water vapor report could mean to skeptics and climate scientists alike. Soloman did mention that many scientists are now accepting, testing, and sometimes embracing skeptic research, and that the NOAA report is proof of that. "What I will say, is that this shows there are climate scientists round the world who are trying very hard to understand and to explain to people openly and honestly what has happened over the last decade." Soloman co-chaired the last climate change assessment report prepared by the United Nations IPCC, but did not personally oversee the controversial Himalayan section. Soloman said it was not clear if the drier atmosphere, which the NOAA report says is the reason global warming fell flat over the last decade, is a natural process or came to be due to human emissions. If the latter is true, carbon dioxide emissions would actually be responsible for a negative feedback that cancels at least some of the warming it causes by pushing water vapor back to the surface of the earth and out of the stratosphere, where it acts as a potent greenhouse gas. According to the report, a 10% decrease in atmospheric water vapor alone was responsible for a 25% drop in predicted temperature increase. NASA Confirms Water Vapor Study NASA researchers and climate scientists around the world have reviewed the NOAA water vapor research in advance to its recent publication in the journal Science, one of the most respected in the world. Describing the effect of water vapor on atmospheric temperature as "enormous," researcher Andrew Dessler said that "everyone agrees that if you add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, then warming will result. The real question is how much warming?" A Texas A&M researcher working in conjunction with NASA, Dessler pointed out that warmer air can contain contain higher amounts of water vapor, which could create a runaway positive feedback cycle. The research, facilitated by a state-of-the-art NASA satellite codenamed AIRS, suggests that water vapor is responsible for twice the global warming effect of carbon dioxide, both man-made and naturally occurring. While this theory was has been carried by climate change skeptics for some time, global warming advocates dismissed them, saying that water vapor in the atmosphere was only a feedback effect caused by human emissions. NASA scientist Eric Fetzer say that the new study created models much more accurate to past events than those previously used by climate change advocates, and proves that "water vapor is the big player in the atmosphere as far as climate is concerned." "Water vapor TWICE that of carbon dioxide"? That would not even be correct if the delusional AGW scope of back radiation from high up all the way to the ground was correct, simply because water vapor exists in so many times the amount of CO2. And again, the official story gives LWIR more credit for the temperature regime, GreenHouse Theory must account for the entire difference of an Earth with an atmosphere than with NO atmosphere at all, treating just the GreenHouse Gas part ignores most of the physics. The surface can get very hot in direct sun depending on color and texture and air movement, and that process needs to be examined with a separate look at convection and contact "conduction" of the molecular collisions, which provide a rapid thermal energy transfer from the surface to the air. Convection usually means the total process, but does not include the rapid short range sharing of the thermal energy at short range with a large enough volume of air by both molecular collisions and LWIR. There may not be any immediate long range thermal energy transfer at all as described in the "energy budget" descriptions, water vapor in the lower hundred meters above the surface may completely absorb all the LWIR radiation of the solar heating of the surface, with the thermal convection of much greater than molecular volumes of air taking some time to rise and take part in the local lapse rate. And the same is true of solar energy that is absorbed by O2 and O3 in the upper atmosphere, most of it is radiated to space, the downward components being quickly absorbed in a lower level and half re-radiated upward, with both Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium and LWIR being involved, but not at all like the upward- downward interactions described in the usual energy budget fairy tale of hundreds of watts per square meter thermal transfer. The dominating factor in the rather stable and moderated temperature regime provided by the atmosphere is the absorption of thermal energy by the atmosphere, according to the mass quantity and specific heat of the major constituents. This view gives N2 the correct large role in moderating both the daytime heating, and the nighttime cooling. And O2 is likely the next biggest factor, because of the mass proportion, with some, perhaps small, greater absorption attributes than N2. Water vapor obviously is third, and it is obvious the moderation effects of water vapor are great, higher humidity prevents higher air temperatures, contrary to the impression that water vapor causes "warming". Also, water vapor has multiple cooling process attributes, evaporative cooling, low density convection to higher altitudes with adiabatic cooling, carriage of latent heat to high altitude where release allows faster radiation to space. The condensation to water droplets forming clouds provides an umbrella that not only prevents solar energy from reaching the ground, but also reflects it to space. And those clouds provide a double process, broadband LWIR to space, and also blocking (absorption and re-radiation downward) the usual nighttime radiational cooling of the surface. CO2 plays such a small role in the overall physics of thermal moderation by the atmosphere, only considering the LWIR aspect of GreenHouse Gases with emphasis is really delusional, with no rational basis in atmospheric physics. Preventing the extreme temperatures that the solar flux can cause on dark colored surfaces is of more importance even than the prevention of radiation cooling, and all the mass of all the gases in the atmosphere is responsible for absorbing and retaining that solar energy, both moderating the temperatures and storing the thermal energy for the short rotation period of the Earth. LWIR is but a small part of the process, and CO2 is a minor player in the total process. |
#3
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![]() "I M @ good guy" wrote in message ... On Fri, 29 Jan 2010 12:40:05 -0800, "Eric Gisin" wrote: How about that, skeptics at NASA? http://www.ecofactory.com/news/noaa-...warming-012910 http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...atervapor.html I can't help being concerned about the second url article, did the water vapor change and it took 10 years to figure it out, or did it take that long to figure out how to explain it in terms of Al Gore physics of AGW? Unfortunately it is totally clueless, it still seems to assume that the temperature of the atmosphere 2 meters above the ground is due to "back radiation" from the high troposphere and stratosphere. More water vapor way up there before 1999, and 10 percent less since, causing a "reduction in rate of warming" seems to suggest the official story is going to be a fairy tale about warming. An increase in atmospheric water vapor is responsible for at least a third of the average temperature increase since the early 1990s, say scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Susan Soloman, the respected climate scientist who lead the research, says that this finding does not undermine man-made global warming theories. "Not to my mind it doesn't," she said. Soloman did point out that the research does allude to human emissions having a much smaller role in climate change than previously thought, and serves as a warning to climate modelers who "over-interpret the results from a few years one way or another." Despite Soloman's personally held belief, the NOAA study is expected to give further ammunition to climate skeptics working to draw public attention to perceived flaws in man-made global warming theories. Soloman, in interviews with both the Associated Press and The Guardian, declined to comment on the negative publicity climate science has received recently due to the IPCC Himalaya error and Climategate, and to what the NOAA water vapor report could mean to skeptics and climate scientists alike. Soloman did mention that many scientists are now accepting, testing, and sometimes embracing skeptic research, and that the NOAA report is proof of that. "What I will say, is that this shows there are climate scientists round the world who are trying very hard to understand and to explain to people openly and honestly what has happened over the last decade." Soloman co-chaired the last climate change assessment report prepared by the United Nations IPCC, but did not personally oversee the controversial Himalayan section. Soloman said it was not clear if the drier atmosphere, which the NOAA report says is the reason global warming fell flat over the last decade, is a natural process or came to be due to human emissions. If the latter is true, carbon dioxide emissions would actually be responsible for a negative feedback that cancels at least some of the warming it causes by pushing water vapor back to the surface of the earth and out of the stratosphere, where it acts as a potent greenhouse gas. According to the report, a 10% decrease in atmospheric water vapor alone was responsible for a 25% drop in predicted temperature increase. NASA Confirms Water Vapor Study NASA researchers and climate scientists around the world have reviewed the NOAA water vapor research in advance to its recent publication in the journal Science, one of the most respected in the world. Describing the effect of water vapor on atmospheric temperature as "enormous," researcher Andrew Dessler said that "everyone agrees that if you add carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, then warming will result. The real question is how much warming?" A Texas A&M researcher working in conjunction with NASA, Dessler pointed out that warmer air can contain contain higher amounts of water vapor, which could create a runaway positive feedback cycle. The research, facilitated by a state-of-the-art NASA satellite codenamed AIRS, suggests that water vapor is responsible for twice the global warming effect of carbon dioxide, both man-made and naturally occurring. While this theory was has been carried by climate change skeptics for some time, global warming advocates dismissed them, saying that water vapor in the atmosphere was only a feedback effect caused by human emissions. NASA scientist Eric Fetzer say that the new study created models much more accurate to past events than those previously used by climate change advocates, and proves that "water vapor is the big player in the atmosphere as far as climate is concerned." "Water vapor TWICE that of carbon dioxide"? That would not even be correct if the delusional AGW scope of back radiation from high up all the way to the ground was correct, simply because water vapor exists in so many times the amount of CO2. And again, the official story gives LWIR more credit for the temperature regime, GreenHouse Theory must account for the entire difference of an Earth with an atmosphere than with NO atmosphere at all, treating just the GreenHouse Gas part ignores most of the physics. The surface can get very hot in direct sun depending on color and texture and air movement, and that process needs to be examined with a separate look at convection and contact "conduction" of the molecular collisions, which provide a rapid thermal energy transfer from the surface to the air. Convection usually means the total process, but does not include the rapid short range sharing of the thermal energy at short range with a large enough volume of air by both molecular collisions and LWIR. There may not be any immediate long range thermal energy transfer at all as described in the "energy budget" descriptions, water vapor in the lower hundred meters above the surface may completely absorb all the LWIR radiation of the solar heating of the surface, with the thermal convection of much greater than molecular volumes of air taking some time to rise and take part in the local lapse rate. And the same is true of solar energy that is absorbed by O2 and O3 in the upper atmosphere, most of it is radiated to space, the downward components being quickly absorbed in a lower level and half re-radiated upward, with both Local Thermodynamic Equilibrium and LWIR being involved, but not at all like the upward- downward interactions described in the usual energy budget fairy tale of hundreds of watts per square meter thermal transfer. The dominating factor in the rather stable and moderated temperature regime provided by the atmosphere is the absorption of thermal energy by the atmosphere, according to the mass quantity and specific heat of the major constituents. This view gives N2 the correct large role in moderating both the daytime heating, and the nighttime cooling. And O2 is likely the next biggest factor, because of the mass proportion, with some, perhaps small, greater absorption attributes than N2. Water vapor obviously is third, and it is obvious the moderation effects of water vapor are great, higher humidity prevents higher air temperatures, contrary to the impression that water vapor causes "warming". Also, water vapor has multiple cooling process attributes, evaporative cooling, low density convection to higher altitudes with adiabatic cooling, carriage of latent heat to high altitude where release allows faster radiation to space. The condensation to water droplets forming clouds provides an umbrella that not only prevents solar energy from reaching the ground, but also reflects it to space. And those clouds provide a double process, broadband LWIR to space, and also blocking (absorption and re-radiation downward) the usual nighttime radiational cooling of the surface. CO2 plays such a small role in the overall physics of thermal moderation by the atmosphere, only considering the LWIR aspect of GreenHouse Gases with emphasis is really delusional, with no rational basis in atmospheric physics. Preventing the extreme temperatures that the solar flux can cause on dark colored surfaces is of more importance even than the prevention of radiation cooling, and all the mass of all the gases in the atmosphere is responsible for absorbing and retaining that solar energy, both moderating the temperatures and storing the thermal energy for the short rotation period of the Earth. LWIR is but a small part of the process, and CO2 is a minor player in the total process. You can call it water vapour if you like, I'm still going to call it cloud, fog, mist, rain, snow, sleet and hail, and any dumb bozos that disagree can kiss my arse. |
#4
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#5
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On Jan 29, 3:40*pm, "Eric Gisin" wrote:
How about that, skeptics at NASA? Sorry, NASA are liars. Or have you forgotten? |
#6
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On Jan 31, 1:32*pm, 7 wrote:
Eric Gisin wrote: How about that, skeptics at NASA? http://www.ecofactory.com/news/noaa-...rgely-responsi... global-warming-012910 http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...atervapor.html An increase in atmospheric water vapor is responsible for at least a third of the average temperature increase since the early 1990s, say scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Well thats clear. ****ing in the wind is causing AGW. But we all knew AGW is about ****ing in the wind long time ago! So here we are taking the **** out of AGW and shoving it into the stratosphere where it belongs! The warmed water is causing evaporative moisture conduction to reach into the troposphere and and and... Well look just do the right thing and fit personal chillers in your trousers and up your skirt to save the planet OK?! Eric Global warming is the reason,and heart of my "Heavy air theory" More rain,more snow,more hurricanes,and tornadoes are easy to predict when air is heavier. Its reality as I type, Just look at USA weather map. Storms from coast to coast. Ocean water evaporating faster is the key to heavy air. TreBert |
#7
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On Sun, 31 Jan 2010 15:11:58 -0800 (PST), bert
wrote: On Jan 31, 1:32Â*pm, 7 wrote: Eric Gisin wrote: How about that, skeptics at NASA? http://www.ecofactory.com/news/noaa-...rgely-responsi... global-warming-012910 http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...atervapor.html An increase in atmospheric water vapor is responsible for at least a third of the average temperature increase since the early 1990s, say scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Well thats clear. ****ing in the wind is causing AGW. But we all knew AGW is about ****ing in the wind long time ago! So here we are taking the **** out of AGW and shoving it into the stratosphere where it belongs! The warmed water is causing evaporative moisture conduction to reach into the troposphere and and and... Well look just do the right thing and fit personal chillers in your trousers and up your skirt to save the planet OK?! Eric Global warming is the reason,and heart of my "Heavy air theory" More rain,more snow,more hurricanes,and tornadoes are easy to predict when air is heavier. Its reality as I type, Just look at USA weather map. Storms from coast to coast. Ocean water evaporating faster is the key to heavy air. TreBert Is this a joke? Should we laugh? Moist air is less dense, lighter, than dry air. Explain the theory, how warm does dry air have to be to have a cubic meter weigh the same as a cubic meter of moist air at a given temperature? |
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