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On Feb 15, 12:20*am, Bill Ward wrote:
On Sun, 14 Feb 2010 15:40:14 +0100, Tom P wrote: Bill Ward wrote: On Sun, 14 Feb 2010 00:19:51 +0100, Tom P wrote: Benj wrote: On Feb 13, 11:31 am, Tom P wrote: Also interesting that they don't even bother to address the key arguments against AGW. Specifically, my main problem with climate "science" is its complete lack of predictive capability. This is not even addressed.. Wrong. Climate science predicts the high temperatures on Venus extremely well. ø That is because they are not playing games with the data Physics works rather well, because it's well tested. *"Climate science", on the other hand, relies largely on untested, often untestable, conjectures, assumptions and models, and has thus become essentially a "cargo cult", in Feynman's terms. *It has become a punchline, not worthy of mention in the same sentence as physics or other actual science. It's the place which proves CO2 is a "greenhouse gas". ø Only a trace and it can in no way remain in the atmosphere sans water vapour. Don't believe it check out Newton. what you leave unmentioned is that CO2 is 97% of the atmosphere of Venus and only a trace gas here. So how exactly does this prove that climate science on EARTH has any predictive value? * Or terrestrial CO2 has any significant effects? ø*Not even one bit. Who are you trying to fool anyway? * WV is even more of a trace gas once you leave the earth's surface ø Tom, Tom, you just posted 2 signs one on front and rear, they say "IDIOT HERE. WV is 97+ of the greenhouse and without it there is no greenhouse. go up above the cloud level. The concentration of WV in the stratosphere drops to around 5 ppm, a tiny fraction of the CO2 concentration. ø I knew you were stupid but I did not expect this. There is almost no WV beyond the clouds and without H2O there is no CO2 [Don't dispute gravity].What water there is comes from jet trails and you see it falling as it dissipates. Right. *That means WV radiates from lower, warmer temperatures than cold CO2, with a clear shot to space. ø The VW and CO2 rise together from the warm waters. There is no material feedback. [Tyndall] When the clouds meet a cold front it turns to rain (or snow) and becomes fertilizer. That means that in the upper troposphere, as the WV concentration sinks towards zero, CO2 becomes the dominant GHG. ø Bill - I thought you were smarter than that. See above. The only CO2 in the troposphere is in the water perhaps as carbonic acid gas. Without convection it simply rains. Now you've got it! *CO2 is active only at the low temperatures found at the top of the atmosphere, while the "optical top" of the WV occurs at much lower altitudes, and thus higher temperatures. *Since there is little WV at higher altitudes, the hotter, more energetic radiation has a clear shot at space. *The warmer, variable energy emitted by WV and cloud overwhelms the static radiation from the high, cold CO2. To repeat: the lapse rate is determined by a compound of a multitude of sins including the gas laws, convection and the condensation of saturated WV into clouds. ø A lot of nonsense, "full of sound and fury, signifying nothing Actually, I don't think it's all that mysterious, it's just the dry adiabatic lapse rate corrected for the latent heat of water phase changes. *The lapse rate in the clear air below cloud base is dry adiabatic, since there are no phase changes occurring. ø Nonsense ø More silly nonsense snipped —*— | In real science the burden of proof is always | on the proposer, never on the sceptics. So far | neither IPCC nor anyone else has provided one | iota of valid data for global warming nor have | they provided data that climate change is being | effected by commerce and industry, and not by | natural phenomena |
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