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sci.geo.meteorology (Meteorology) (sci.geo.meteorology) For the discussion of meteorology and related topics. |
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On Feb 23, 6:21*am, Peter Muehlbauer
wrote: "N_Cook" wrote: Peter Muehlbauer wrote in message kenexpress.de... Meteorologist wrote: Guardian http://www.guardian.co.uk/environmen...evel-geoscienc... ct-siddall "Study claimed in 2009 that sea levels would rise by up to 82cm by the end of century - but the report's author now says true estimate is still unknown" "Nature Publishing Group, which publishes Nature Geoscience, said this was the first paper retracted from the journal since it was launched in 2007." David Christainsen So much for credibility of journals, institutions and peer-review. From BODC,POL,Liverpool England, data for Lerwick , between 1957 and 1999 mean sea level has risen 30 mm relative to the rising land there. But for Portsmouth between 1962 and 2002 then sea level relative to sinking Portsmouth then 170mm rise over that time. Assuming gravity has not changed over the length of the UK . Lerwick recovering upward from last age , Pompey is sinking in see-saw compensation (plasticity). Without better knowledge of the geology it is difficult to say what it is for the UK other than between 30mm and 170 mm over 40 years but I doubt 100mm over 40 years would be far out. So if things continued ,as since 1960s, then 2.5x 10cm or 25 cm would be a reasonable inference. Since ocean beds are in persistent change, - ups and downs, *by tectonics, undersea and oversea volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, silting up, land reclamation and whatsoever, nobody... really NOBODY is able to claim a man-made sea level change by melting polar caps or glaciers, without taking the above mentioned natural events or human interventions a factor into their calculations. There is no indication that they ever did! Their only evidence is an assumption about mel****er. Nothing else. |
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