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Legal verdict: Manmade global warming science doesn’t withstand
scrutiny By Lawrence Solomon June 6, 2010 – 10:47 pm A cross examination of global warming science conducted by the University of Pennsylvania’s Institute for Law and Economics has concluded that virtually every claim advanced by global warming proponents fail to stand up to scrutiny. The cross-examination, carried out by Jason Scott Johnston, Professor and Director of the Program on Law, Environment and Economy at the University of Pennsylvania Law School, found that “on virtually every major issue in climate change science, the [reports of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] and other summarizing work by leading climate establishment scientists have adopted various rhetorical strategies that seem to systematically conceal or minimize what appear to be fundamental scientific uncertainties or even disagreements.” Professor Johnson, who expressed surprise that the case for global warming was so weak, systematically examined the claims made in IPCC publications and other similar work by leading climate establishment scientists and compared them with what is found in the peer-edited climate science literature. He found that the climate establishment does not follow the scientific method. Instead, it “seems overall to comprise an effort to marshal evidence in favor of a predetermined policy preference.” The 79-page document, which effectively eviscerates the case for man- made global warming, can be found here, http://www.probeinternational.org/UPennCross.pdf Financial Post Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe the author of The Deniers. |
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On Jun 10, 12:40*am, Leon wrote:
Legal verdict: Manmade global warming science doesn’t withstand scrutiny By Lawrence Solomon *June 6, 2010 – 10:47 pm A cross examination of global warming science conducted by the University of Pennsylvania’s Institute for Law and Economics has concluded that virtually every claim advanced by global warming proponents fail to stand up to scrutiny. The cross-examination, carried out by Jason Scott Johnston, Professor and Director of the Program on Law, Environment and Economy at the University of Pennsylvania Law School, found that “on virtually every major issue in climate change science, the [reports of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] and other summarizing work by leading climate establishment scientists have adopted various rhetorical strategies that seem to systematically conceal or minimize what appear to be fundamental scientific uncertainties or even disagreements.” Professor Johnson, who expressed surprise that the case for global warming was so weak, systematically examined the claims made in IPCC publications and other similar work by leading climate establishment scientists and compared them with what is found in the peer-edited climate science literature. He found that the climate establishment does not follow the scientific method. Instead, it “seems overall to comprise an effort to marshal evidence in favor of a predetermined policy preference.” The 79-page document, which effectively eviscerates the case for man- made global warming, can be found here,http://www.probeinternational.org/UPennCross.pdf Financial Post Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe the author of The Deniers. The mechanisms behind all this are extraordinarily complicated,for instance,the 'scientific method' itself which is giving rise to the speculative notion of human control over global temperatures is actually following its own rules thereby leading to a predictable stalemate which is extremely unhealthy for everyone concerned despite the fact that some people just like to argue for the sake of arguing and like to live off the fumes of discontent.Under normal circumstances,the empirical method usually gives terrestrial sciences a wide berth,preferring to consider things like the 'black hole at the end of the universe' or dark this and dark that,speculative notions which have no meaning for the wider population and amount to comic strip science,almost like a cartoon where the next novelty and episode is written by consensus.It is when the 'scientific method' encounters things closer to home like climate that the unchallenged assumptions that work so well in astronomy ( a once noble discipline that is currently totally dysfunctional) become unstuck and exposed,not so much the individual assumption applied to climate but the very 'scientific method' itself. I suppose genuine people who are interested in the technical issues rather than the social consequences of trying to squeeze climate through a minor atmospheric gas or the idea of the planet as a greenhouse would be wary of venturing back in history in order to discover what was done to allow the emergence of these modeling agendas,first through clocks and timekeeping averages in the late 17th century and now using computers and why normal intellectual restraints are cast aside in order to make the means justify the ends. Isaac Newton was following his Arian beliefs to their logical conclusion and it helps to actually be a Christian to understand why these influences emerge in terms of 'laws' such as the spectacular sounding 'universal law of gravitation' but people today are unlikely to spot the Arian sentiments in Isaac's work as compared to other Christian scientists such as Galileo,Copernicus or Kepler.An astronomer,I mean an astronomer who has a fair comprehension of the method and reasoning behind the Earth's planetary dynamics as first proposed by Copernicus, looking at what Newton attempted to do would see an assault on the eyes yet there is not the slightest sign that Isaac tried to disguise his idiosyncratic treatment of the great astronomical methods and insights - "It is indeed a matter of great difficulty to discover, and effectually to distinguish, the true motion of particular bodies from the apparent; because the parts of that absolute space, in which those motions are performed, do by no means come under the observation of our senses. Yet the thing is not altogether desperate; for we have some arguments to guide us, partly from the apparent motions, which are the differences of the true motions; partly from the forces, which are the causes and effects of the true motion." Newton In terms of planetary dynamics,that perspective is lethal even if the statement is clear in context of his continuation of the modelling agenda but I understood early on that most empiricists don't understand their own system,they literally cannot tell what Newton did and how he actually did it.The very 'laws of physics' were made up as he went along and his followers today are those who begin with the idea that the Earth is a greenhouse and humans control global temperatures by using carbon dioxide levels as a temperature dial.I would say our generation will be lucky enough to escape with a 'fool's pardon' if it continues on the way it is doing ,not by arguing over the climate topic but the actual 'scientific method' itself and how one person acted stupidly (Flamsteed) and another got greedy (Newton). Nobody actually has to go through the complicated and twisted technical and historical details of all this even as the enormous carbon dioxide hyperfuss has now subsided and people return to a more stable platform of pollution control and new energy sources where the whole thing belonged in the first place.It still leaves many questions unanswered and that is where dealing with the 'scientific method' itself comes in order to prevent these modelling agendas from running amok again by those who care only about their models rather than correct interpretation,experience and sometimes common sense. |
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