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On Feb 15, 8:43*am, kym wrote:
On Feb 14, 10:00*pm, matt_sykes wrote: On Feb 13, 11:04*pm, enigma wrote: Arctic warms to highest level yet as researchers fear tipping points Jeremy Hance mongabay.com February 13, 2012 http://news.mongabay.com/2012/0213-h...ingpoints.html Thats right, after all the arctic has NEVER been as warm as today at anoy point in the past has it. *Surely if it WAS it would have gone past a tipping point and not come back! Straw man alert. It seems to be a bit of a myth that a "tipping point" always involves irreversibility or "unable to return to given state by any circuitous route whatever". It may. Or it may not. The usual usages do not -- simply that one stable state is changed to another stable state, usually "suddenly". Even "irreversibility" in the classic reductionist sense doesn't dictate that a state becomes forever unreachable -- just that if A - B is irreversible then we can't have B - A. Another thing to watch out for is 1d thinking. When it comes to the "environment" it just doesn't do to imagine (loosest possible sense of the technical term, given the context) a "state" consists of a single variable -- e.g. temperature. Finally, there is little that a mass extinction or other planet- killing event can't reset the clock to zero. Of course they are the things some of us are trying to avoid and others deny are possible. -- [Feel the meta-evidence, Luke:] The great thing about science is that once you understand it you tend to defend it, especially against pretenders to science like the agw activists here and at various institutions like the CRU, GISS, Penn State and against political activists at the IPCC and Greenpeace. -- Tunderbar , 8 Jul 2011 11:05 -0700 (PDT) So you admit it has beenwarmer at the north pole before, that the ice was much reduced or gone entirely and that as it got colder it returned. So whats the problem if it does the same thing now? |
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