"Surfer" wrote in :


"A. G. W SCA@M" A. G. W SCA@M@A. G. W SCA@M wrote in message
...



Anytime that you read claims that invoke disasters loss trends as an
indication of human-caused climate change, including the currently
popular "billion dollar disasters" meme, you can simply call
"BULL****!" and point to the IPCC SREX report!


Lets see. Here an extract from the report.
http://www.ipcc-wg2.gov/SREX/images/...-All_FINAL.pdf

Start extract
There is evidence that some extremes have changed as a result of
anthropogenic influences, including increases in atmospheric
concentrations of greenhouse gases. It is likely that anthropogenic
influences have led to warming of extreme daily minimum and maximum
temperatures at the global scale. There is medium confidence that
anthropogenic influences have contributed to intensification of
extreme precipitation at the global scale. It is likely that there has
been an anthropogenic influence on increasing extreme coastal high
water due to an increase in mean sea level. The uncertainties in the
historical tropical cyclone records, the incomplete understanding of
the physical mechanisms linking tropical cyclone metrics to climate
change, and the degree of tropical cyclone variability provide only
low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in
tropical cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences.

End extract

Note that the sentence,

"There is medium confidence that anthropogenic influences have
contributed to intensification
of extreme precipitation at the global scale."

implies that AGW is probably causing worse flood disasters.

Nicely cherry-picked, but "likely" "uncertainties" "incomplete
understanding"... And "medium confidence" presumably means 50/50?
Says everything and nothing.

As it happens, two recent studies:


http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/...apr2012a3.html
http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/...apr2012a3.html

Everyone around here knows that the passage of a tropical cyclone reduces
sea and surface temperatures, and reduces the likelihood of another
cyclone for a period of time. We now have back-up for the bleedin'
obvious.