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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Friday. Issued 0540z,
10/10/05. The models show a largely settled weekend over England and Wales, with windier (and probably wetter) conditions for Northern Ireland and Scotland due to their proximity to an Atlantic low. High pressure to the NE will be the dominant feature for the weekend though and with winds feeding in from the Continent it should be largely sunny over England and Wales, with the exception of eastern coastal areas. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif High pressure covers much of the UK, with SW'lies for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. The high drifts eastwards at T+144, bringing SE'lies over England and southerlies elsewhere. By day 7 the UK lies under easterlies, SE'lies and southerlies as high pressure builds over Scandinavia. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif MetO shows high pressure over Denmark with a ridge over England and Wales. Southerlies and SSW'lies cover Northern Ireland and Scotland with SE'lies and easterlies elsewhere. SE'lies and ESE'lies cover the UK at T+144 as the high builds and extends eastwards. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif A mixture southerlies and SE'lies covers the UK, which lies between a low to the west and a high over the North Sea. The high builds over southern Scandinavia at T+144, resulting in SSE'lies and SE'lies. A shallow trough moves northwards over England and Wales at T+168 and with pressure remaining high to the NE winds are still southerlies and SE'lies for most. GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif GEM southerlies and SE'lies, again due to a high to the NE. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...080000_120.gif DWD shows the UK under a ridge from the east, leading to SW'lies for Scotland, SSW'lies for Northern Ireland and southerlies or SE'lies elsewhere. SE'lies and southerlies cover the UK at T+144 as a trough moves slowly northwards towards the UK. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif Scotland and Northern Ireland lie under strong southerlies from a low to the west, whereas the rest of the UK is covered by a ridge and light winds. The ridge moves NW'wards at T+144, bringing SSW'lies to Scotland and southerlies or SE'lies elsewhere. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif NOGAPS shows SW'lies across the UK due to a deep low to the NW. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean model shows southerlies and SW'lies over the UK with a ridge over England and Wales. |
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