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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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![]() ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...Annual/cet.gif What's the relationship between the series ? To my mind a cold snowy decade in the 60s followed a high hurricane frequency decade the 50s, at some stage the hurricane frequency this century will decrease and then what will happen to the winters ? Colder perhaps ? OK *very loose* science, but to me just another part of the jigsaw. A *proper* time-series analysis is required here, anyone ? HTH Will. -- " Ah yet another day to enjoy " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#2
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Will Hand wrote:
================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...Annual/cet.gif What's the relationship between the series ? To my mind a cold snowy decade in the 60s followed a high hurricane frequency decade the 50s, at some stage the hurricane frequency this century will decrease and then what will happen to the winters ? Colder perhaps ? OK *very loose* science, but to me just another part of the jigsaw. A *proper* time-series analysis is required here, anyone ? HTH Will. -- " Ah yet another day to enjoy " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for that Will, so it's not a case of one seasons high frequency is followed by a cold winter then ? However, given a series of high frequency seasons now gone by, we must be ready to hit some colder winters. Very loosely of course :-) -- Keith (Southend) 'Weather Home & Abroad' http://www.southendweather.net |
#3
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![]() "Will Hand" wrote in message ... http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml http://www.metoffice.com/research/ha...Annual/cet.gif What's the relationship between the series ? To my mind a cold snowy decade in the 60s followed a high hurricane frequency decade the 50s, at some stage the hurricane frequency this century will decrease and then what will happen to the winters ? Colder perhaps ? OK *very loose* science, but to me just another part of the jigsaw. A *proper* time-series analysis is required here, anyone ? HTH Will. Will, May I suggest a weekend project for you ? It could be just another paper to add to your repertoire ! Joe |
#4
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![]() To my mind a cold snowy decade in the 60s followed a high hurricane frequency decade the 50s, at some stage the hurricane frequency this century will decrease and then what will happen to the winters ? Colder perhaps ? Yes, bit which, if either is the cause? You could say the the colder weather in the 60's led to less hurricanes. I read an interesting article once which showed statistical significant links between things which couldn't possible be connected. I've noticed that my purchase of warm clothing is frequently followed by several months rather cool weather. It happens every year. Maybe I should start buying shorts in October, and then the winter'll be warm! There is a danger in basing too much on what's happened before. The 50's did see plenty of hurricanes, but in many other ways they were different to the last 10 years. E.g north Atlantic SSTs were certainly generally lower, there was more arctic ice, and the Labour party was left wing. Anyway, Spring's arrived. They've started picking Sols (narcissi) on Scilly. Graham |
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