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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on New Year's Day.
Issued 0609z, 28/12/04. The outlook remains a zonal one, albeit with colder air over Scotland for Sunday which could bring a fiar bit of snow over higher ground. Beyond that things look like remaining unsettled and on the mild side. ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif High pressure lies to the west of Iberia, leading to westerlies for all. Westerlies continue to affect the UK at T+144 and T+168 as the high moves slowly eastwards over France. MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html The Met Office run shows strong to gale force westerlies, due to a ridge over Biscay and a deep low NE of Iceland. The winds ease slightly at T+144 as the Azores High ridges northwards over Biscay. GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif Strong westerlies cover the UK with complex low pressure to the north. 850hPa temperatures vary from -8C over NW Scotland to -1C over SW England. Milder westerlies move over the UK at T+144, followed by WSW'lies at T+168 as a large high moves slowly eastwards over the western Mediterranean. Westerlies return on day 8, with SW'lies on day 9 from a ridge over the North Sea. Day 10 sees further SW'lies as a trough moves slowly eastwards towards the UK. GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html The Canadian run also shows strong westerlies, this time with a ridge over Iberia. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...250000_120.gif A large high covers Iberia, Biscay and France, leading to westerlies across the UK. JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html A shallow trough lies to the west of the UK, with a weak ridge over the Irish Sea. Winds are westerlies and WSW'lies over the UK as a result. NOGAPS: http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif NOGAPS shows a westerly flow over the UK with high pressure to the west of Iberia. GM CPTEC: http://www.cptec.inpe.br/prevnum/Global126_sx6_Gl.shtml Unavailable today. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean model shows the Azores High to the west of Iberia, with westerlies across the UK. |
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