Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Friday. Issued 0540z,
17/10/05.

The models show an unsettled end to the working week, followed by a chance
of northerlies by Sunday as low pressure/a trough moves away to the east.
Not all models agree though and the MetO brings easterlies across the UK
instead. As ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
Lows are located to the NW and WSW, with westerlies across the UK as a
result. The latter low moves over England at T+144, leading to SW'lies for
SE England and northerlies for Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland.The
winds become NW'lies for most at T+168 as a weak ridge crosses Ireland.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
As with the ECM, two lows surround the UK - this time to the ENE and to the
WSW. England and Wales lie under a col, while Scotland and Northern Ireland
are affected by easterlies. Easterlies cover much of the UK at T+144 as the
low to the WSW moves over the Celtic Sea.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
The UK lies a large trough from the NE, with a deep low over Scandinavia and
a secondary low to the south of Ireland. Winds are northerlies for Scotland
and westerlies elsewhere. The trough moves eastwards at T+144, bringing
further northerlies to Scotland and NE'lies elsewhere. Day 7 sees a high
build over the UK, with light winds for all.

GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif
The Canadian run shows NE'lies and northerlies for the UK due to a ridge
over Scotland and a trough over the Low Countries.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...170000_120.gif
A trough covers England and Wales. To the north winds are northerlies, with
westerlies for most of England and Wales. The trough moves southwards at
T+144, allowing northerlies to affect all areas.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows NW'lies for Scotland, with a low to the ENE.
Elsewhere winds are westerlies due to a weak ridge over Ireland. A col
covers much of the UK at T+144, with light winds for all.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS brings northerlies across the UK in association with a trough over
England.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean model shows a col over much of the UK. Northern Ireland lies
under southerlies from a trough to the west, with SE England is affected by
northerlies from a trough to the east.