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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Monday. Issued 0544z,
20/10/05. The models show low pressure dominating the UK for the first half of next week with a trough moving slowly northwards. Rain is likely in all areas as the trough moves through and temperatures should be a fair bit milder than average. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif SE'lies cover much of the UK due to a trough over the Midlands and Wales. To the south, winds are SW'lies. The trough deepens over Scotland at T+144, bringing SW'lies and westerlies elsewhere. There's little change at T+168 as the trough persists over Scotland. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif MetO shows a weak ridge bringing westerlies to England and Wales. Northern Ireland lies under SW'lies, while a col covers Scotland. By T+144 a low deepens to the west, leading to strong to gale force southerlies and SW'lies over the UK. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif SW'lies and SSW'lies cover the UK due to a deep low to the WNW and a high to the east. There's little change at T+144 or T+68, with low pressure remaining to the west. GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif The Canadian run also shows a low to the WNW, this time bringing southerlies to Scotland and SW'lies elsewhere. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...200000_120.gif Unavailable today. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows a trough over northern England and southern Scotland. To the south winds are westerlies, with ESE'lies further north. A secondary low covers Northern Ireland at T+144, leading to SW'lies for most areas. Scotland is the exception, with SE'lies. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif Low pressure covers the North Sea, leading to NE'lies for most areas. High pressure then moves SE'wards over the UK at T+144, leading to SE'lies for Northern Ireland with northerlies elsewhere. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean model shows a trough across the UK. Scotland lies under SE'lies, Northern Ireland is affected by southerlies and elsewhere winds are SW'lies. |
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