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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output, for noon (GMT) on Saturday.
Issued 0602z, 12/08/03. ECMWF: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.html Scotland and northern England lie under high pressure, with easterlies and SE'lies elsewhere. The high drifts eastwards at T+144, allowing easterlies and southerlies to cover the UK. Southerlies and easterlies continue to affect the UK at T+168, as low pressure moves northwards to the west of the UK. MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html A ridge lies to the east of Scotland, bringing easterlies and southerlies over the UK. The ridge builds over Scotland and Northern Ireland at T+144, with easterlies to the south. GFS: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/weather/...F/mrfsfc00F108 ..gif Southerlies and easterlies cover the UK, with high pressure over the North Sea. The high merges with a ridge to the west at T+120, forming a ridge over Northern Ireland, northern England and southern Scotland. To the south, winds are easterlies, with westerlies to the north. 850hPa temperatures range from +4C over NE England to +7C over southern England. The ridge persists over the UK at T+144, with light winds for all. By T+168, the ridge moves SE'wards, as a low moves closer to the west of Scotland. This leads to SW'lies for Scotland and Ireland, with light and variable winds for much of England. On day 8 a westerly and NW'ly flow covers the UK, as a ridge builds to the west. The ridge topples over the UK on day 9, with NNW'lies for most. By day 10, the ridge covers England and Wales, with WSW'lies further north. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120_e.html High pressure covers Scotland, with northerlies and NE'lies over the UK. Light northerlies cover the UK at T+144, followed by NNE'lies at T+168 as a ridge builds to the west of Scotland. The ridge builds over Scotland on day 8, with northerlies for most, but by day 9 westerlies cover Scotland as the ridge topples southwards. By day 10, the UK lies under a NW'ly flow, as the ridge sinks southwards over Biscay. JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html Easterlies cover much of the UK, with high pressure over Scotland. 850hPa temperatures range from +4C over northern Scotland to +10C over southern England. In summary, the runs show generally settled weather for the weekend, with high pressure affecting the UK. |
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