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Old November 6th 05, 05:33 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (6/11/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Thursday. Issued
0532z, 6/11/05.

The models still show a zonal flow with unsettled weather for most areas
during the latter half of next week. The GFS shows a settled interlude next
weekend but as yet the other models aren't as keen. As ever, more runs are
needed.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
Westerlies cover the UK with a large high to the south. A low deepens to the
west at T+144, bringing gale force SW'lies for all. The winds become NW'lies
at T+168 as a ridge builds to the west.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
MetO shows SW'lies for all ahead of a low to the west. The low becomes a
trough over the North Sea and eastern England at T+144, leading to NW'lies
over much of the UK.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
SW'lies cover the UK, again due to a low to the west. A trough crosses the
UK at T+144 to bring westerlies and WSW'lies, followed by light anticyclonic
winds at T+168. By then the UK lies under a large high.

GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif
Unavailable today.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...060000_120.gif
A trough covers Northern Ireland while the rest of the UK lies under a
ridge. A mixture of westerlies and SW'lies covers the UK, followed by
westerlies for all on day 6.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows strong SW'lies for most areas due to a ridge to the
south and complex low pressure to the NW. The winds become SSW'lies at T+144
as a trough approaches Ireland.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows SW'lies for all at T+120 and T+144 as an area of high pressure
moves NE'wards to the south of the UK.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean model shows WSW'lies for all, again due to lows to the north and
a high to the south.

MM5 snow forecast:
http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...snoc.hr120.gif
No snow is forecast to lie over the UK at T+120.



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