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Old November 7th 05, 05:51 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (7/11/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Friday. Issued 0549z,
7/11/05.

The models now show signs of a change with high pressure building to the
west. The end of the week will still see unsettled weather close to the UK
though, with northern areas bearing the brunt. There's considerable
disagreement regarding the track of the Azores High ridge at the end of next
weekend, with MetO showing it forcing a low SE'wards across Ireland. GFS
brings it across as a weak ridge on Sunday, as does ECM. As ever, more runs
are needed.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
Strong SW'lies cover the whole of the UK with a trough over Ireland. The
trough moves eastwards at T+144 to allow NW'lies to affect most areas, with
gale force winds across Scotland. A ridge topples SE'wards over the UK at
T+168, bringing northerlies to parts of England and westerlies elsewhere.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
MetO westerlies for all with two lows to the WNW and NE of the UK. A ridge
lies further to the west and by T+144 it moves eastwards, introducing
northerlies to Scotland and Northern Ireland. Elsewhere winds are SE'lies or
easterlies as the low to the west of Scotland moves swiftly SSE'wards and
fills.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
A deep low lies to the north with a trough across England. For eastern areas
of England winds are SW'lies, with westerlies elsewhere. A weak ridge
crosses the UK at T+144, bringing a mixture of westerlies and WNW'lies,
followed by WSW'lies at T+168 as another trough approaches the UK.

GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif
A small low covers northern Scotland and elsewhere winds are strong SW'lies.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...070000_120.gif
The UK lies between a low to the NE and a high to the WSW, with WNW'lies for
all. A weak ridge crosses the UK at T+144 to bring westerlies and WNW'lies.
By T+168 a deep trough forms to the east, leading to NW'lies for all.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows SW'lies for all and a low to the west of Ireland. A
col covers much of the UK at T+144, although Northern Ireland lies under
northerlies from a ridge.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS shows SW'lies across the UK with a low to the west. The SW'lies ease
at T+144 as the low moves away to the NE.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean model shows westerlies for all with the UK between a high to the
SW and a low to the NE.

MM5 snow forecast:
http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...snoc.hr120.gif
No snow is forecast to lie over the UK at T+120.




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