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Old November 14th 05, 05:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (14/11/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for 12z on Friday. Issued 0557z,
14/11/05.

The models show high pressure in charge for the end of the working week.
Beyond that things are much less certain, although the most popular outcome
today is for the high to move southeastwards into mainland Europe with
milder, less settled weather affecting Northern Ireland and Scotland.
However, the GFS ensembles show a significant proportion of members (~33%)
going for a colder outlook. As ever, more runs are needed.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure covers the UK, bringing light winds to most areas. SE England
and East Anglia lie under northerlies, with further northerlies for SE
England at T+144. Elsewhere winds become SW'lies as the high sinks
southwards, followed by WSW'lies at T+168 with the high by now over France.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
MetO shows a high to the east with light winds across the UK. The high
builds over England and Wales at T+144 with westerlies for Scotland and
SW'lies for Northern Ireland.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
High pressure covers the UK with light winds for all. There's little change
at T+144 but by T+168 the high declines and starts to move southwards; winds
remain light for most but SW'lies start to affect NW Scotland and Northern
Ireland.

GEM: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rgem1201.gif
The Canadian run shows light winds across the UK with high pressure over the
British Isles. The high builds and moves SE'wards over northern France at
T+144; this leads to SW'lies for Northern Ireland and Scotland, with light
southerlies and SW'lies for England and Wales.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...140000_120.gif
As with the other runs, high pressure dominates the UK. Winds are
northerlies across SE England and East Anglia, with light winds over the
remainder of the UK. The high declines over Scotland and Northern Ireland at
T+144, introducing northerlies and NE'lies elsewhere.

JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows a high over the English Channel with a ridge
northwards. This results in SW'lies for Northern Ireland and Scotland, with
light winds for England and Wales. A weak trough moves eastwards at T+144 to
bring westerlies and NW'lies across the UK.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NOGAPS brings a ridge across Scotland and Wales, with southerlies for
Northern Ireland and northerlies over England. There's little change at
T+144.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The UK lies under southerlies due to a large high to the east.

MM5 snow forecast:
http://rain.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/plots/n...snoc.hr120.gif
No snow is forecast to lie over the UK at T+120.




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