uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old November 23rd 05, 11:46 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Consistency of GFS models

People like to discuss the changes each new run of models bring but how much
of this is pure conjecture? I saved the 18Z 500hpa chart from the 21st and
tonight's run is virtually identical. This indicates some good modelling if
it stays the same right through the forthcoming "event" because in the past
there have been some significant changes for impending "northerly blasts"in
the same time frame.

Dave



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Old November 24th 05, 06:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Consistency of GFS models

If your talking about 3 days or longer why bother looking at just the *one*
operational run when *all* the other outputs\ information from that model is
available?
:-
http://217.160.75.104/pics/MT8_London_ens.png










"Dave.C" wrote in message
. uk...
People like to discuss the changes each new run of models bring but how

much
of this is pure conjecture? I saved the 18Z 500hpa chart from the 21st and
tonight's run is virtually identical. This indicates some good modelling

if
it stays the same right through the forthcoming "event" because in the

past
there have been some significant changes for impending "northerly

blasts"in
the same time frame.

Dave






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