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Old November 24th 05, 10:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Inaccurate forecasts: some questions

Why do different forecasters with access to the same data and the same
supercomputers come up with such wildly differing forecasts? I'm
looking at the BBC, CNN and Yahoo forecasts for London at the moment,
and they all say completely different things.

I also look at the forecasts for Tenerife South, where I have an
apartment. Just about every time I look, the above sites forecast rain
and thunderstorms - and yet it has a desert climate where there's
often no rain for months. Are the forecasters actually familiar with
local conditions in places like this?



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Old November 24th 05, 10:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Inaccurate forecasts: some questions

Phil wrote:
Why do different forecasters with access to the same data and the same
supercomputers come up with such wildly differing forecasts? I'm
looking at the BBC, CNN and Yahoo forecasts for London at the moment,
and they all say completely different things.

I also look at the forecasts for Tenerife South, where I have an
apartment. Just about every time I look, the above sites forecast rain
and thunderstorms - and yet it has a desert climate where there's
often no rain for months. Are the forecasters actually familiar with
local conditions in places like this?


I would hazard a guess that no forecaster has been near any of the forecasts
you mention, they will be direct model output.

--
Stuart Brooks
Carluke
South Lanarkshire 221m amsl

webcams at
www.brooks22.plus.com/index.htm

Webcam: http://www.brooks22.plus.com


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Old November 24th 05, 11:15 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Inaccurate forecasts: some questions

What does that mean?

On Thu, 24 Nov 2005 23:45:17 -0000, "Stuart Brooks"
wrote:

Phil wrote:
Why do different forecasters with access to the same data and the same
supercomputers come up with such wildly differing forecasts? I'm
looking at the BBC, CNN and Yahoo forecasts for London at the moment,
and they all say completely different things.

I also look at the forecasts for Tenerife South, where I have an
apartment. Just about every time I look, the above sites forecast rain
and thunderstorms - and yet it has a desert climate where there's
often no rain for months. Are the forecasters actually familiar with
local conditions in places like this?


I would hazard a guess that no forecaster has been near any of the forecasts
you mention, they will be direct model output.


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Old November 24th 05, 11:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Inaccurate forecasts: some questions


"Phil" wrote in message
...
What does that mean?



At a guess, computer generated forecasts.. rather than human forecasts




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