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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Following a lot of hard work put into the European Winter by H H Lamb et
alia in the 20th century. The late November cold snap is normal. So is the mid-December mildening. Then they move on to the late December cold spell. After that the cold spells are shown to be dominant in Mid January and Mid February. Otherwise southwesterlies dominate. This leads me to suspect that the coming winter will be normal or above, as I have published. OK seasonal forecasting aided by numerical products has improved. But you cant just wipe away a lot of serious hard work put in past century. I've lost me duck! Cheers Paul -- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather |
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![]() "Paul Bartlett" wrote in message ... Following a lot of hard work put into the European Winter by H H Lamb et alia in the 20th century. The late November cold snap is normal. So is the mid-December mildening. Then they move on to the late December cold spell. After that the cold spells are shown to be dominant in Mid January and Mid February. Otherwise southwesterlies dominate. This leads me to suspect that the coming winter will be normal or above, as I have published. OK seasonal forecasting aided by numerical products has improved. But you cant just wipe away a lot of serious hard work put in past century. I've lost me duck! Cheers Paul No you can't, but the climate is changing Paul? Will. -- " Ah yet another day to enjoy " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#3
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![]() "Paul Bartlett" wrote in message ... Following a lot of hard work put into the European Winter by H H Lamb et alia in the 20th century. The late November cold snap is normal. So is the mid-December mildening. Then they move on to the late December cold spell. After that the cold spells are shown to be dominant in Mid January and Mid February. Otherwise southwesterlies dominate. This leads me to suspect that the coming winter will be normal or above, as I have published. OK seasonal forecasting aided by numerical products has improved. But you cant just wipe away a lot of serious hard work put in past century. I've lost me duck! Late November cold snap, Paul? Wasn't most of the second half of November on the cool side or am I mistaken? Victor |
#4
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![]() Paul Bartlett wrote: Following a lot of hard work put into the European Winter by H H Lamb et alia in the 20th century. The late November cold snap is normal. So is the mid-December mildening. Then they move on to the late December cold spell. After that the cold spells are shown to be dominant in Mid January and Mid February. Otherwise southwesterlies dominate. This leads me to suspect that the coming winter will be normal or above, as I have published. OK seasonal forecasting aided by numerical products has improved. But you cant just wipe away a lot of serious hard work put in past century. I've lost me duck! Cheers Paul Most of the forecasts I've read do seem to be suggesting something approaching the classic "normal" pre 1990s scenario. Something that today's tabloids would class as "severe". Shall we start a running tally of how many times we'll see the classic headline and sub deck "Big Freeze Chaos...And there's more snow on the way..." |
#5
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Paul Bartlett wrote:
Following a lot of hard work put into the European Winter by H H Lamb et alia in the 20th century. The late November cold snap is normal. So is the mid-December mildening. Then they move on to the late December cold spell. After that the cold spells are shown to be dominant in Mid January and Mid February. Otherwise southwesterlies dominate. This leads me to suspect that the coming winter will be normal or above, as I have published. OK seasonal forecasting aided by numerical products has improved. But you cant just wipe away a lot of serious hard work put in past century. I've lost me duck! Cheers Paul I tend to agree with you on this one Paul, the pendulum is going to swing back and forth. Maybe like 1987 when some decent wintry spells occurred. -- Keith (Southend) http://www.southendweather.net |
#6
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![]() -- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather Damn it paul, predict another mild winter so i can get further heavy snowfalls in jan and feb like i have the last 3 years. THANKS! |
#7
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On Thu, 01 Dec 2005 21:53:51 +0000, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote: I tend to agree with you on this one Paul, the pendulum is going to swing back and forth. Maybe like 1987 when some decent wintry spells occurred. My bet too. But the 'decent wintry spells' might just be a bit more..well..biting? (With appropriate media prompting that is!) R |
#8
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![]() "Robin Nicholson" wrote in message ... On Thu, 01 Dec 2005 21:53:51 +0000, "Keith (Southend)" wrote: I tend to agree with you on this one Paul, the pendulum is going to swing back and forth. Maybe like 1987 when some decent wintry spells occurred. My bet too. But the 'decent wintry spells' might just be a bit more..well..biting? (With appropriate media prompting that is!) R Britain braces bravely for big brrrrr blow!!! :-) Victor |
#9
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On Thu, 1 Dec 2005 23:19:56 -0000, "Victor West"
wrote: Britain braces bravely for big brrrrr blow!!! :-) Our dear friends, the Frogs, will accidentally turn off the 'necessary?' electricity/gas supplies..and make fun of us,too? R |
#10
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nguk wrote:
-- 'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates. Paul Bartlett FRMetS www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather Damn it paul, predict another mild winter so i can get further heavy snowfalls in jan and feb like i have the last 3 years. THANKS! The winter is going to be "Bad with Many Dead!" there's about 2 ton of salt at Stoke Mandeville Station, Chiltern must be right ![]() |
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