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Old December 3rd 05, 08:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?

GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?



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Old December 3rd 05, 10:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?


"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?



Lawrence I do not see any reason to change my forecast. Last few runs of GFS I
think were mis-handling "epsilon", dragging it into the flow as an elongated
trough just did not look right to me. ECMWF and UKMO both largely kept it out of
the mid-latitude circulation and I notice that the 12Z ECMWF is now building
pressure over the UK linking it to the Scandinavian high (see www.ecmwf.int) ,
much like the "pre-epsilon" GFS a couple of days ago. The balance is in favour
of a blocking pattern with high pressure slowly becoming established around the
UK, how much of an easterly develops in the south is still very much open to
question but the moderate possibility is still there in my view.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
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DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
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Old December 3rd 05, 10:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?


UK, how much of an easterly develops in the south is still very much open
to
question but the moderate possibility is still there in my view.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Im just waiting for the * Snow is even a possibility in the se * forecast
like early in the year


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Old December 3rd 05, 10:32 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?

Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?


It's those pesky Normans


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Old December 4th 05, 02:10 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?


" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?


It's those pesky Normans


So master Cupra, weather and footie go together in some parts.




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Old December 4th 05, 02:15 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?



Lawrence I do not see any reason to change my forecast. Last few runs of
GFS I
think were mis-handling "epsilon", dragging it into the flow as an
elongated
trough just did not look right to me. ECMWF and UKMO both largely kept it
out of
the mid-latitude circulation and I notice that the 12Z ECMWF is now
building
pressure over the UK linking it to the Scandinavian high (see
www.ecmwf.int) ,
much like the "pre-epsilon" GFS a couple of days ago. The balance is in
favour
of a blocking pattern with high pressure slowly becoming established
around the
UK, how much of an easterly develops in the south is still very much open
to
question but the moderate possibility is still there in my view.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thanks Will.


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Old December 4th 05, 08:41 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?

Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?


It's those pesky Normans


So master Cupra, weather and footie go together in some parts.


Yep - it's an invasion I hear!


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Old December 4th 05, 09:59 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will is the forecast still on track?


" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?

It's those pesky Normans


So master Cupra, weather and footie go together in some parts.


Yep - it's an invasion I hear!



By the French ?


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Old December 4th 05, 04:45 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 747
Default Will is the forecast still on track?

Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?

It's those pesky Normans


So master Cupra, weather and footie go together in some parts.


Yep - it's an invasion I hear!



By the French ?


Maybe - or perhaps the russian oil barons?


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Old December 4th 05, 09:05 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 1,978
Default Will is the forecast still on track?


" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
" cupra" wrote in message
...
Lawrence Jenkins wrote:
GFS getting it's knickers in a twist - what do you think ?

It's those pesky Normans


So master Cupra, weather and footie go together in some parts.

Yep - it's an invasion I hear!



By the French ?


Maybe - or perhaps the russian oil barons?


Ah,, now there's a story yet to be really told.




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