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This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the
privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may
unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever
for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of
freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish to
share freely with others.

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Summary valid for Sunday 11/12/05 to Saturday 17/12/05
TOI (time of issue) Thursday 08/12/05 2030 UK local time

This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten

Confidence is very high that the weather this week will be dominated by an
intense anticyclone slowly transferring westwards into the Atlantic. High
confidence for a lot of dry weather, especially in the west and south, but only
moderate confidence for cloud amounts, fog, frost and precipitation coming down
from the north later.

On Sunday through to Tuesday most of the British Isles will be dry with mainly
light winds. Possibly some light rain or drizzle at times over Scotland where
winds could freshen from the west or northwest to moderate or strong. Variable
amounts of cloud with some breaks to the lee and over high ground. Cloud breaks
at night will lead to patchy fog and frost otherwise temperatures will be close
to or just below normal in the south but mild in the north and west. Possibly
exceptionally mild over high ground and to the lee of high ground in the north.

During Wednesday a front is likely to push down from the north down the eastern
side of the country introducing a strong north or northwest flow to these areas
turning it colder. Some rain spreading south down eastern areas. Generally light
but cold enough for some wintry precipitation on high ground. Western areas of
both Scotland and England and the whole of Wales and Northern Ireland likely to
stay mainly dry and bright with freshening north or northwest winds and turning
colder.

Little change for the rest of the week with Scotland and eastern parts of
England likely to stay rather cold and cloudy with fresh to strong north or
northwest winds bringing rain at times. Probably some sleet and snow on high
ground in Scotland. Some showers likely in western areas too, possibly wintry on
high ground but winds will be lighter with less cloud and sunny spells.
Temperatures below normal in the west with frost at night later.

Outlook for the following week with low confidence is for eastern areas to stay
rather cold, mainly cloudy with some rain, sleet or snow in fresh north to
northwest winds. Western areas drier and brighter with lighter winds. Perhaps
turning milder later with more general rain and strengthening winds spreading
from the northwest.

Finally here is the sledging and winter walking forecast for Dartmoor for
weekend 10/11th Dec:

No snow is expected to lie or fall on Dartmoor during the weekend. Freezing
levels will be well above the summits.

Will Hand

Chief forecaster USW/HMO
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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