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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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![]() ================================================== ================== This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author. Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do. ================================================== ================== Just had a quick scan through the charts and it's all looking very interesting for eastern England, and high ground in the west. Almost certainly now some lying snow in the next 3 days for Eastern England, SE England, parts of central southern England and Dartmoor. Most snow in East Anglia and the SE with 5-10 cms certainly possible, lighter falls elsewhere, a few flurries on Dartmoor which if we get a trough may give 1 or 2 cms lying snow. Confidence high. Later on Thursday and on Friday Atlantic air pushes in from the west and this will give a spell of heavy snow above 250m on high ground, possibly 10-15 cms in places before it turns milder with rain spreading to all areas. Confidence moderate. Then it's back to normal weather with wind and rain at times and a bit of hill snow in colder interludes. Confidence moderate. Things that could still go "wrong":- 1. Only coastal areas of the east get any snow - (unlikely) 2. Warm air stalls and the east gets a substantial spell of snow before the rain arrives (possible) 3. Warm air fails to push in and only reaches western fringes (unlikely) 4. Block is maintained and we persist with the easterly type (very unlikely) Season's Greetings, Will. -- " Ah yet another day to enjoy " ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet). mailto: www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal and do not necessarily represent those of my employer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
#2
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Thanks Will. I routinely read your posts (unlike some others) - always
informative. At 142m asl on the "first high ground" downwind of the East Anglian coast, (South Cambridgeshire) I have great confidence in your prediction of snow. This is my 15th winter here and experience has taught that when East Anglia gets snow in an E'ly or NE'ly, then we are always included. Lower ground nearby, eg around Cambridge itself, often gets rain only. In East Anglia, NW'lies and N'lies are of course a different story and then it tends to be mainly the coastal districts of North, Northeast and East Norfolk (where I grew up) that get the substantial snow. Jack |
#3
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Block to persist - unlikely? The 06Z GFS thinks otherwise. Early days
yet but in blocking situations like this models are notorious for trying to push warm air through the UK much faster than happens in reality |
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