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Old January 4th 05, 05:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Col Col is offline
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Default [WR] Whistlefield, Tuesday, 4.01.2005


"Alex Stephens Jr" wrote in message
...
Hi Joe
Glad to see you back safe and well.
There's a danger that in over hyping forecasts a "Peter cries wolf "
situation arises , whereby - a couple of severe forecasts with attendant
warnings turn out to be relatively benign and the general population become
sceptical. But then when a really dangerous situation unfolds people
consequently take less notice of warnings.


The CF came through here not with a bang but with a whimper, though
a sharp clearence is always a joy to see
Somebody at work was expecting 'severe gales', gusts to 70 mph.
But it never happened, even as the front approached. 'Rather windy' was
the most we ever got.

Thankfully, on the whole, the pro's get it right nowadays, certainly as far
as dangerous winds are concerned. But the BBC forecasts for this morning
(and no doubt other authorities) - were on the whole, very wide of the mark.
Whereas the TAF's issued, correctly disagreed with / contradicted the
warnings issued. (certainly they did for this part of the country). Afterall
the TAF's forecast 50mph gusts, and the beeb were going for damaging 70-80
mph gusts, that is a hell of a difference.


So basically the forecasters got it right but the BBC hyped it up?
I doubt the public will appreciate the difference!

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co....rPictures.html


 
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