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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0537,
12 Jan 06. The models show a trough crossing the UK at the beginning of next week, with rain likely in most areas. Pressure will then rise to the south, bringing SW'lies for all. As usual, areas further south and east will see the least of the rain. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif A trough covers the Irish Sea, leading to westerlies for Northern Ireland and SSW'lies or SW'lies elsewhere. By T+144 pressure builds over England and Wales, with WSW'lies across Scotland and Northern Ireland. By T+168 the ridge moves eastwards as yet another trough approaches from the west; this leads to SW'lies for all. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif MetO brings a trough over the UK with westerlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland; elsewhere winds are a mix of westerlies and SW'lies. By T+144 pressure rises over the UK, leading to light winds for southern England and SW'lies elsewhere. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png GFS shows a mixture of SW'lies and westerlies for the UK, with the latter following behind a trough over England. The winds become westerlies at T+144 as the trough moves eastwards, followed by SW'lies and WSW'lies at T+168. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html A deep low lies to the north with westerlies for all. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...120000_120.gif The German run shows a secondary centred near the Wash, bringing westerlies to much of England. Wales lies under NW'lies, as does Northern Ireland, whilst Scotland is affected by northerlies. As with MetO, pressure rises over the UK at T+144 with SW'lies for all. JMA: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif The Japanese run shows WSW'lies for all, driven on by a deep low to the north. A trough crosses the UK at T+144, with westerlies and WNW'lies following behind. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif NOGAPS brings strong SW'lies across the UK as the result of a trough to the west. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif A deep low lies to the NW, leading to SW'lies for all. |
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