uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged.

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Old January 21st 06, 03:23 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

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DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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Old January 21st 06, 04:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ECM T+168 DT 00Z 21/1/06

On Sat, 21 Jan 2006 15:23:00 -0000, "Will Hand"
inspired by Deep Thought wrote:


================================================= ===================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================= ===================

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.

Will.


Very interesting scenario it is! I'm not so sure we'll get much snow this far
inland (High Wycombe) as most of the precipitation brought about by the "lake
effect" of the North Sea will have dropped over Essex & Kent by the time it
reaches us. No doubt we'll get a dusting or two though!

Interestingly, GFS shows the low further south-east and less deep, but I agree
the south-east is on a knife-edge where the VERY cold pool of air over central
Europe is concerned. The +276h 850mB map shows -10C air over the sout-east tip.
I know the accuracy this far ahead is low, but if it pans out, it could be VERY
cold for Essex & Kent with significant snowfall & drifting in a strong
north/north-east wind! Don't put the thermal underwear away yet!

Nigel

Aagh! Every time I learn something new... it pushes something old out of my brain!
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Old January 21st 06, 05:27 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ECM T+168 DT 00Z 21/1/06

Will Hand wrote:
================================================== ==================
This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
================================================== ==================

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------




I get the feeling you've not given up on something coming off in the
next week Will, even when the rest of us are losing hope? I guess here
in Southend-on-Sea I am in one of the best places if it does come off.

WMII now uploading to CWOP/APRS
http://www.findu.com/cgi-bin/wxpage....4&units=metric
http://www-frd.fsl.noaa.gov/mesonet/...=-3.6&scale=18
not forgetting Weather Underground...
http://www.wunderground.com/weathers...p?ID=IESSEXSO1

I'm all prepared :-)
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
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Old January 21st 06, 06:04 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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I'm all prepared :-)
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net


I don't mention anything to anyone anymore - too many disappointments and
this may easily go the same way.

Dave


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Old January 21st 06, 06:41 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Dave.C wrote:
I'm all prepared :-)
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net


I don't mention anything to anyone anymore - too many disappointments and
this may easily go the same way.

Dave



I know how you feel Dave, I've been getting quizzed about the outlook at
work and I find myself just not comitting myself and leaving ALL options
only. Gosh, I ought to work on BBC weather :-)

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net


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Old January 21st 06, 06:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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On Sat, 21 Jan 2006 17:27:04 +0000, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.


I get the feeling you've not given up on something coming off in the
next week Will, even when the rest of us are losing hope? I guess here
in Southend-on-Sea I am in one of the best places if it does come off.

Keith, I don't understand why the rest of you are losing hope. Very
little has changed on the GFS (apart from normal day to day
variations) since Will first mentioned the 30% probability of
something "very interesting" from the East - and that's still how the
GFS looks to me. Very interesting, with lots of very cold air not far
East of us and at times, touching the East/South East of England.

In this situation *anything* could happen and that's a lot better for
lovers of snow and cold than we can usually say at this time of year,
these days.

--
Dave
Fareham
....who will probably miss the fun anyway, even if there is any fun!
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Old January 21st 06, 07:08 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Agree Dave, but Keith and I are just working on pure superstition these
days!
Dave
"Dave Ludlow" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 21 Jan 2006 17:27:04 +0000, "Keith (Southend)"
wrote:


http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.


I get the feeling you've not given up on something coming off in the
next week Will, even when the rest of us are losing hope? I guess here
in Southend-on-Sea I am in one of the best places if it does come off.

Keith, I don't understand why the rest of you are losing hope. Very
little has changed on the GFS (apart from normal day to day
variations) since Will first mentioned the 30% probability of
something "very interesting" from the East - and that's still how the
GFS looks to me. Very interesting, with lots of very cold air not far
East of us and at times, touching the East/South East of England.

In this situation *anything* could happen and that's a lot better for
lovers of snow and cold than we can usually say at this time of year,
these days.

--
Dave
Fareham
...who will probably miss the fun anyway, even if there is any fun!



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Old January 21st 06, 07:52 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default ECM T+168 DT 00Z 21/1/06

Dave Ludlow wrote:

What element(s) at T+0 produce these models to show an omega block in
the coming week?
There must be something going on, jet stream, troughs etc, that indicate
such changes.

--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net


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