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Old January 22nd 06, 10:19 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...


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Old January 23rd 06, 08:20 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

"Scott W" wrote in
oups.com:

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...


00Z charts - move along now, nothing to see here! Mind you, the T+2376
looks a bit unstable, might be a few thunderstorms from that Spanish
plume...

Richard
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Old January 23rd 06, 06:47 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

In message , Richard Dixon
writes
"Scott W" wrote in
roups.com:

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...


00Z charts - move along now, nothing to see here! Mind you, the T+2376
looks a bit unstable, might be a few thunderstorms from that Spanish
plume...

Yup, Looks terrible. Blessed high becoming dominant over Azores and not
a flake in sight.
Was it the Daily Express that headlined 'Arctic weather coming'?
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.
400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash
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Old January 23rd 06, 07:12 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 446
Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

Paul Bartlett wrote:
In message , Richard Dixon
writes
"Scott W" wrote in
oups.com:

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...


00Z charts - move along now, nothing to see here! Mind you, the T+2376
looks a bit unstable, might be a few thunderstorms from that Spanish
plume...

Yup, Looks terrible. Blessed high becoming dominant over Azores and not
a flake in sight.
Was it the Daily Express that headlined 'Arctic weather coming'?
Cheers
Paul


A complete disaster, I realy have lost hope this time, even though it's
still January.

:-(

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
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Old January 23rd 06, 07:28 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

Yes, it was all looking so good a few days ago.

Still, I'm pinning my hopes on the massive uncertaintly in the GFS ensembles
even only 72 hours out.

David

"Keith (Southend)" wrote in message
...
Paul Bartlett wrote:
In message , Richard Dixon
writes
"Scott W" wrote in
oups.com:

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...

00Z charts - move along now, nothing to see here! Mind you, the T+2376
looks a bit unstable, might be a few thunderstorms from that Spanish
plume...

Yup, Looks terrible. Blessed high becoming dominant over Azores and not
a flake in sight.
Was it the Daily Express that headlined 'Arctic weather coming'?
Cheers
Paul


A complete disaster, I realy have lost hope this time, even though it's
still January.

:-(

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net





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Old January 23rd 06, 08:03 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 3,253
Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

In message , "Keith (Southend)"
writes
Paul Bartlett wrote:
In message , Richard Dixon
writes
"Scott W" wrote in
oups.com:

Will this never end? Just a boring northerly now...

Ah well. Just have to wait for the 06Z charts to see it on again...

00Z charts - move along now, nothing to see here! Mind you, the T+2376
looks a bit unstable, might be a few thunderstorms from that Spanish
plume...

Yup, Looks terrible. Blessed high becoming dominant over Azores and
not a flake in sight.
Was it the Daily Express that headlined 'Arctic weather coming'?
Cheers
Paul


A complete disaster, I realy have lost hope this time, even though it's
still January.

:-(

Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net


Now you can see why most of those on the newsgroup who have had a career
on the forecasting bench seldom comment on anything beyond T+72, if that
far. We have seen apparently rock solid developments of all types
disappear into thin air all too often.

When looking at, say, a T+120 chart always remember that it is a near
certainty that the actual chart valid for the same time will be
significantly different, at least in detail and quite possibly in the
broad scale.

It's a lot less stressful finding interest in the weather you've
actually got than in worrying about what might just possibly happen in
10 days time :-) For what it's worth, I have found the developments
during the past week fascinating even though the weather here has been
largely quiet and uneventful.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England
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Old January 23rd 06, 08:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Posts: 446
Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

Norman Lynagh wrote:

Now you can see why most of those on the newsgroup who have had a career
on the forecasting bench seldom comment on anything beyond T+72, if that
far. We have seen apparently rock solid developments of all types
disappear into thin air all too often.

When looking at, say, a T+120 chart always remember that it is a near
certainty that the actual chart valid for the same time will be
significantly different, at least in detail and quite possibly in the
broad scale.

It's a lot less stressful finding interest in the weather you've
actually got than in worrying about what might just possibly happen in
10 days time :-) For what it's worth, I have found the developments
during the past week fascinating even though the weather here has been
largely quiet and uneventful.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)


Thanks for the therapy Norman, can I get out of the couch now, or should
I take some more deep breaths ;-)

Regards
--
Keith (Southend)
http://www.southendweather.net
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Old January 23rd 06, 08:57 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
Posts: 3,253
Default GFS 18Z - all gone to pot again!

In message , "Keith (Southend)"
writes
Norman Lynagh wrote:

Now you can see why most of those on the newsgroup who have had a
career on the forecasting bench seldom comment on anything beyond
T+72, if that far. We have seen apparently rock solid developments of
types disappear into thin air all too often.
When looking at, say, a T+120 chart always remember that it is a
near certainty that the actual chart valid for the same time will be
significantly different, at least in detail and quite possibly in the
broad scale.
It's a lot less stressful finding interest in the weather you've
actually got than in worrying about what might just possibly happen in
10 days time :-) For what it's worth, I have found the developments
during the past week fascinating even though the weather here has been
largely quiet and uneventful.
Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)


Thanks for the therapy Norman, can I get out of the couch now, or
should I take some more deep breaths ;-)

Regards


I prescribe a hearty glass of a good malt. It works wonders :-)

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England


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