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Old February 18th 06, 10:38 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will it be even cold enough for snow in the SE?


"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

Under that trough line Jon, Birmingham has a day max. of 6 deg C on the

Met
Office web site? In fact that is 1 deg *higher* than the forecast for

tomorrow
of 5 deg C.
Wednesday (T+96) it has snow showers and a max of 4 deg C.

Will (even more confused of Haytor)


Doesn't surprise me, Will. I'm sure we've been down this road before re
the
automated output. As I've said, when required it can be modified.

Jon.

Looking at Weatheronline last night I noticed something odd about Tmax
forecasts for next Friday (Yes, I know it's a long way ahead..). For the SE
the forecast max was +10°C which simply didn't square with any information
given in the other charts for that time. I see it has now been changed to a
more reasonable +3°C.

All the best

--
George in Epping, West Essex (107m asl)
www.eppingweather.co.uk
www.winter1947.co.uk



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Old February 18th 06, 11:06 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will it be even cold enough for snow in the SE?

In message , Jon O'Rourke
writes
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

Jon, but at least it is progged to be sub 528 DAM ?


True, just that the deepest instability and coldest air is expected further
north at that point. There could be some wintry precip. in the SE though as
per the GFS
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/cg...fi/en/2006/02/
18/basis12/enen/rart_06022118_1812.gif?a1c745d8816cc4e75bcb2373f13 6377d

A max of 6 deg C is not far off normal for time of year, is that really
consistent with deep cold air?


Probably not. As ever I don't take those maxes too literally, there is the
facility to modify the 5 day output when required but this takes time and is
at the discretion of those on duty. The EC ensemble plot for Canterbury
indicates a max. of around +3 or 4°C which may be more representative.

Jon.


Whatever happened to quality control :-)

These automated 5-day forecasts are disseminated quite widely. They
appear on the WMO website under the heading "Official Weather Forecasts"
with the Met Office logo on display. Currently the London forecast on
the WMO website predicts max temps in London of 7C for Sun/Mon/Tue while
for Norwich it shows 6/6/5C for the same days. Out of the 13 locations
on the list snow is currently forecast for only one of them. That is for
Exeter on Wednesday.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England
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Old February 19th 06, 12:08 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Will it be even cold enough for snow in the SE?

Jon, it's naff. Why don't they do soemthing about it.

----------------------------------------------------------------------
"Jon O'Rourke" wrote in message
...
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

Under that trough line Jon, Birmingham has a day max. of 6 deg C on the

Met
Office web site? In fact that is 1 deg *higher* than the forecast for

tomorrow
of 5 deg C.
Wednesday (T+96) it has snow showers and a max of 4 deg C.

Will (even more confused of Haytor)


Doesn't surprise me, Will. I'm sure we've been down this road before re

the
automated output. As I've said, when required it can be modified.

Jon.









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