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Old February 19th 06, 05:53 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (19/02/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0549, 19 Feb 06.

The models persist in showing a cold spell for the latter half of the week,
although as before there's a high chance of some less cold air being brought
over the UK for the weekend.
Eastern areas especially are at risk of seeing something wintry and some
areas could well see a covering by Friday - more especially over higher
ground but not exclusively.
The GFS, as yesterday, still shows a depression tracking westwards across
the UK and if that were to come off snow would be widespread, driven on by
gusty winds. However, none of the other runs back this up, so it remains a
very low probability. The GFS ensembles show a fair bit of scatter as early
as Thursday but the underlying picture is a cold one.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure lies to the NW, with NE'lies for all. NE'lies persist at T+144
as the high builds and drifts NE'wards. By T+168 the high lies to the north
with less cold NE'lies across the UK.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The UK lies under a mixture of easterlies and ENE'lies, with high pressure
to the NE. The high builds and sinks southwards at T+144, with further
easterlies and ENE'lies for the UK.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
A large area of high pressure extends SE'wards from Greenland, with a strong
ridge over Scandinavia. Easterlies cover Scotland and Northern Ireland as a
result, but things are complicated elsewhere by a shallow low over Wales
with cold southerlies across much of England. The low moves away to the SW
at T+144, leaving the whole of the UK under strong easterlies. T+168 sees
further easterlies as a trough crosses Biscay and the high to the north
declines slightly.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run shows easterlies across the UK as the result of a low over
Biscay and highs to the NE and NW. The Biscay low moves NE'wards at T+144,
leading to a mixture of northerlies and NE'lies for England and Wales;
elsewhere winds remain easterlies.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...190000_120.gif
High pressure is centred over Scandinavia with a ridge towards Greenland,
leading to a mixture of easterlies and SE'lies for the UK. Easterlies
persist at T+144 as a shallow low moves eastwards along the English Channel.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
NOGAPS also shows easterlies, this time with high pressure over Iceland.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows high pressure ridging SE'wards from Greenland to
Scandinavia, via Iceland. ENE'lies cover the UK as a result.




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