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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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#1
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Probably a silly question but do all of the major models (ECM, GFS,UKMO etc)
obtain independent raw data to produce their model output or is there some/lots of overlap and it's the programming that causes the differences? Dave |
#2
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In article ,
Dave.C writes: Probably a silly question but do all of the major models (ECM, GFS,UKMO etc) obtain independent raw data to produce their model output or is there some/lots of overlap and it's the programming that causes the differences? It must be the programming, surely? I can't believe that all the data isn't available to all the models? -- John Hall "Honest criticism is hard to take, particularly from a relative, a friend, an acquaintance, or a stranger." Franklin P Jones |
#3
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![]() Dave.C writes: Probably a silly question but do all of the major models (ECM, GFS,UKMO etc) obtain independent raw data to produce their model output or is there some/lots of overlap and it's the programming that causes the differences? .... there are so many variables to atmospheric modelling it is difficult to know where to begin! Firstly the analysis (the initial conditions) may be assessed in different ways as between different centres - much as if you had two forecasters faced with the same set of observations would produce a slightly different analysis - location of front etc. The centres will have *available* all the same raw data, but what they do with it may be different. They may not assimilate *all* the data, or may be selective about which dataset are assimilated (this applies particularly with satellite-derived datasets). They may apply different weighting to some datasets that another centre would not. The method of analysis is now highly complex and as has been noted elsewhere, data are not just used at the primary DT's (00, 06, 12 & 18Z), but used asynoptically - but the methods of doing this are different from centre-to-centre, hence different analyses, and differing forecasts. Then of course there are different grid lengths (or wave numbers for spectral models), and different numbers of vertical levels - and these will be spaced differently by different centres. Some models are 'tuned' to produce results at higher definition for specific purposes - e.g. the tropical models, or GCM's used for climate simulation vs. the mesoscale models used for short-range work. The time-steps (or mathematical procedures used) will be different one from another. The way some processes are parameterised will be different - some may have explicit representation of surface type, some may use climatology etc. Some centres will skew the grid they use to make sure that the primary area of interest is over them, so 'notional' poles will result which may affect, even if only slightly, the forecast over the domain further away from the primary centre of interest. I'm sure I've missed some out! The only way to tackle this question properly would be to visit each web site of the protagonists and read through the literature. But, to answer your original question about data, all data is made *available* (via the World Weather Watch or Global Observing System of WMO) - it's up to the individual centre how they use it ;-) Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm and http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/metindex.htm |
#4
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Thank you for your comprehensive answer, Martin. It is most helpful and as
you say at the end, answers my main question that the data is available to all but is interpreted and modelled in various ways. Dave "Martin Rowley" m wrote in message ... Dave.C writes: Probably a silly question but do all of the major models (ECM, GFS,UKMO etc) obtain independent raw data to produce their model output or is there some/lots of overlap and it's the programming that causes the differences? ... there are so many variables to atmospheric modelling it is difficult to know where to begin! Firstly the analysis (the initial conditions) may be assessed in different ways as between different centres - much as if you had two forecasters faced with the same set of observations would produce a slightly different analysis - location of front etc. The centres will have *available* all the same raw data, but what they do with it may be different. They may not assimilate *all* the data, or may be selective about which dataset are assimilated (this applies particularly with satellite-derived datasets). They may apply different weighting to some datasets that another centre would not. The method of analysis is now highly complex and as has been noted elsewhere, data are not just used at the primary DT's (00, 06, 12 & 18Z), but used asynoptically - but the methods of doing this are different from centre-to-centre, hence different analyses, and differing forecasts. Then of course there are different grid lengths (or wave numbers for spectral models), and different numbers of vertical levels - and these will be spaced differently by different centres. Some models are 'tuned' to produce results at higher definition for specific purposes - e.g. the tropical models, or GCM's used for climate simulation vs. the mesoscale models used for short-range work. The time-steps (or mathematical procedures used) will be different one from another. The way some processes are parameterised will be different - some may have explicit representation of surface type, some may use climatology etc. Some centres will skew the grid they use to make sure that the primary area of interest is over them, so 'notional' poles will result which may affect, even if only slightly, the forecast over the domain further away from the primary centre of interest. I'm sure I've missed some out! The only way to tackle this question properly would be to visit each web site of the protagonists and read through the literature. But, to answer your original question about data, all data is made *available* (via the World Weather Watch or Global Observing System of WMO) - it's up to the individual centre how they use it ;-) Martin. -- FAQ & Glossary for uk.sci.weather at:- http://homepage.ntlworld.com/booty.weather/uswfaqfr.htm and http://booty.org.uk/booty.weather/metindex.htm |
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