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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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"Snowy winters across Europe and Asia will be followed by summers
during which the amount of fish food in the Arabian Sea will skyrocket." In 2004 NASA funded Goés and his colleagues, at Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences, Maine, to map nitrate concentrations in the world's oceans. It seemed their technique didn't work for the Arabian Sea. Nitrate levels during July-August were too high. Goés analyzed the satellite chlorophyll observations back to 1997 and realized that there was a 350 percent increase in chlorophyll concentration in the Arabian Sea in 7 years! Nutrients eventually become scarce and growth subsides until a fresh source of nutrients arrives. Winds explained the increased upwelling and cool sea surface temperatures for the period: In Southwest Asia, in the summer, -June to August, the winds blow from the ocean toward the land, bringing heavy rains and the surface waters are pushed toward Asia. In the winter, winds blow from land to sea. The seasonal reversal has dramatic effects on the Arabian Sea because the north is landlocked. Cold water wells up along the coast of Somalia and the Arabian Peninsula to replace waters pushed ashore. Reconstructed maps of surface winds over the Arabian Sea confirmed such winds during the southwest phase of the monsoon. If phytoplankton increased between 1997-2004 because upwelling had increased... and if upwelling had increased because monsoon winds had picked up... why had the winds picked up? The Southwest Asian Monsoon is a facet of the larger Asian Monsoon and the cause of the Asian monsoon is that the Eurasian landmass and the Indian Ocean warm and cool at different rates through the seasons. In summer, the land surface gets hotter than the ocean and moist air from over the ocean flows in to replace rising air. In winter, the air over land gets colder than the air over the ocean. Warmer air over the ocean rises, and cold air from the north blows in to replace it. The monsoon is driven by land/ocean temperature differences. Anything increasing that difference could strengthen the monsoon. John Fasullo published a paper supporting a link between the strength of the Asian monsoon and the amount of snow cover in Europe and Asia. In 1884 by H.F. Blandford proposed that before the monsoon, the snow must melt; the less snow cover over the Himalayas, the sooner the warming in the spring and the warmer it would get over the summer. But the theory wasn't supported by modern satellite data. Scientists couldn't find evidence of the relationship -or when they did, their methods were quite questionable. "In 2004, my colleagues and I published the results of an analysis of snow cover in Eurasia since 1967. El Niño-La Niña cycles had the biggest influence but Eurasian snow cover played a major role in the monsoon intensity in non-El Niño/ La Niña years." That established a relationship between snow cover in Eurasia and the entire Asian monsoon from around 1970 to the present. There is a clear decline in snow cover in Eurasia since 1997. Goés and his team traced their way backward from what they thought was a mistake to a surprising discovery of how complex Earth's land surface, oceans, atmosphere and living creatures are. The intricacy is amazing. Increased phytoplankton helps fisheries. But decomposition uses up oxygen. Huge increases in phytoplankton could be catastrophic. (Oman have reported massive fish deaths in the area, in many cases preceded by mass strandings following major blooms.) Bacteria in oxygen-poor waters produce nitrous oxide; its heat-trapping potential is about 300 times greater than carbon dioxide. [What is its potential for the destruction of other greenhouse gasses? Isn't it a powerful oxidant? M.M.] The decline in Eurasian snow cover since 1997 may be strengthening Southwest Monsoon rainfall along the western coast of India. This could mean more intense rain and more frequent floods in Southwest Asia. Furthermo "Many people in Asia depend on snow melt for water. If glaciers continue to melt, many high-altitude lakes could start overflowing," That can destabilize mountain slopes and trigger landslides. Drought could prevail in those regions. http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Stu...n/printall.php |
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