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Old February 23rd 06, 05:48 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (23/02/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued 0545,
23 Feb 06.

The models show cold weather persisting throughout the first half of next
week, with a strong Greenland High bringing winds from the north or NW. The
emphasis for wintry showers should switch from the south and east to the
north and west as a result, although disturbances in the flow could bring
precipitation almost anywhere.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
Northerlies cover the UK due to a large high to the NW. The winds become
NW'lies and NNW'lies at T+144 as a trough sinks southwards over the UK,
followed by NW'lies for all at T+168.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The UK lies under NW'lies in the main, with a ridge over England and Wales
and a trough over Scotland. Winds veer NNW'ly at T+144 as the ridge moves
away to the south.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
A large high lies to the NW with a ridge over England and Wales leading to
NW'lies and WNW'lies there. Elsewhere winds are NNW'lies with a small low
over Shetland. The low deepens and moves southwards at T+144, lying over the
Thames Estuary. Winds are northerlies and NNE'lies, followed by NNW'lies and
NW'lies at T+168 as the low fills over the North Sea.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian run also shows a mixture of NW'lies and northerlies over the
UK as the result of a ridge across England and Wales. By T+144 NNW'lies
cover the whole of the UK as a low deepens to the east.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...230000_120.gif
The German run is similar to the rest, although this time more of the UK
lies under northerlies. The Greenland High ridges southwards at T+144,
leading to further northerlies.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
NOGAPS shows a mix of northerlies and NW'lies, again due to a ridge to the
NW.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows northerlies over the UK with a fetch from the other
side of the Pole.



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Old February 23rd 06, 06:26 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (23/02/06)


"Darren Prescott" . wrote in message
...
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued
0545, 23 Feb 06.

The models show cold weather persisting throughout the first half of next
week, with a strong Greenland High bringing winds from the north or NW.
The emphasis for wintry showers should switch from the south and east to
the north and west as a result, although disturbances in the flow could
bring precipitation almost anywhere.


Its an interesting Low on the GFS that moves South on the 28th/1st, with
pretty cold air around it...

Phil


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Old February 23rd 06, 08:16 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (23/02/06)


"Phil Layton" wrote in message
...

"Darren Prescott" . wrote in message
...
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Monday. Issued
0545, 23 Feb 06.

The models show cold weather persisting throughout the first half of next
week, with a strong Greenland High bringing winds from the north or NW.
The emphasis for wintry showers should switch from the south and east to
the north and west as a result, although disturbances in the flow could
bring precipitation almost anywhere.


Its an interesting Low on the GFS that moves South on the 28th/1st, with
pretty cold air around it...

Phil


I saw that one as well. That looks like a real winter classic.

Gavin.




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