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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Wednesday. Issued
0550, 25 Feb 06. The models show an unusual event looming next week, with low pressure encroaching on the UK and some very cold air involved. It's likely some places will see significant snow as Atlantic lows bump into the cold air and slide eastwards, but it's too far away to say with any certainty which areas will be affected. It's likely that milder air will work its way northwards, but given the way the MetO and GFS runs are today it could be a slow process, taking a few days to reach Scotland. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif Complex low pressure lies to the NE, leading to NW'lies for most. A trough moves over the UK at T+144, with cold westerlies for England and Wales and NW'lies elsewhere. NW'lies cover the whole of the UK at T+168 as low pressure fills over Denmark. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif As with ECM, complex low pressure covers Scandinavia, with cold NW'lies and NNW'lies as a result. One of the low centres moves over the North Sea at T+144, with further NNW'lies and NW'lies. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png The UK lies under a large upper cold pool, with lows to the NE and WSW. Winds are a mixture of westerlies and WNW'lies for most, followed by light winds at T+144 as one of the lows moves swiftly eastwards along the English Channel. Another low moves along the Channel at T+168, with a mix of easterlies and NE'lies for the UK. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Westerlies cover the UK with low pressure to the NE and a ridge to the south. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...250000_120.gif Westerlies and NW'lies cover much of the UK, with lows to the NE and WSW, much as with MetO. The latter moves ESE'wards over Biscay at T+144, leaving the UK under NW'lies. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif As with the other runs, a mixture of NW'lies and NNW'lies is affecting the UK, this time with a low to the south of Norway. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif The Korean run shows a small high to the SW and NW'lies for all. |
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