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uk.sci.weather (UK Weather) (uk.sci.weather) For the discussion of daily weather events, chiefly affecting the UK and adjacent parts of Europe, both past and predicted. The discussion is open to all, but contributions on a practical scientific level are encouraged. |
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Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0531, 26 Feb 06. The models show cold weather persisting for much of next week. Low pressure will never be far from the UK and with northerlies or NW'lies exposed coastal areas are at risk of seeing a fair few snow showers. Further inland there'll be much less snow unless frontal systems or troughs move southwards - the details of those won't be known until closer to the time, of course. Looking further ahead it still looks like Atlantic lows will approach the UK towards the end of the week and depending on their exact track some areas may see some significant snow, driven on by strong easterlies. At the moment it's still impossible to say whether that'll occur, but it's worth keeping an eye on the forecasts in the media this week. ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif Low pressure is centred over Denmark with a trough over Scotland. Winds elsewhere are NW'lies, followed by NNW'lies and NW'lies at T+144 as the trough sinks southwards. T+168 sees a low deepen to the south with much of the UK under a col. MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif Low pressure covers the UK, bringing SW'lies to much of England and northerlies elsewhere. The low moves away to the east at T+144, leaving the UK under NW'lies. GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png GFS also shows the UK under the influence of low pressure, this time centred over the North Sea. Winds are northerlies for Scotland and NNW'lies or NW'lies elsewhere. The low sinks SE'wards at T+144, leaving the UK under NW'lies. By T+168 there's a complete change as a wave deepens and moves swiftly NE'wards to lie to the north of Scotland; winds are SW'lies or southerlies over the UK as a result. GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html Westerlies cover the UK due to a low to the NE. A low deepens to the WSW at T+144, leaving much of the UK under a col. GME/DWD: http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...260000_120.gif A trough covers Scotland, leading to northerlies there and to westerlies elsewhere. The trough moves southwards at T+144 with a mix of northerlies and NW'lies. NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif The UK lies under a light NW'ly flow, with a low to the ENE. Low pressure deepens and moves ENE'wards along the English Channel at T+144, resulting in brisk easterlies over much of England and Wales. Elsewhere winds are light northerlies or NE'lies. KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif Light winds and a col cover the UK. |
#2
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Felly sgrifennodd Darren Prescott @:
At the moment it's still impossible to say whether that'll occur, but it's worth keeping an eye on the forecasts in the media this week. Surely you mean it's worth keeping an eye on u.s.w? ![]() Adrian -- Adrian Shaw ais@ Adran Cyfrifiadureg, Prifysgol Cymru, aber. Aberystwyth, Ceredigion, Cymru ac. http://users.aber.ac.uk/ais uk |
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