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Old February 26th 06, 05:33 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (26/02/06)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0531, 26 Feb 06.

The models show cold weather persisting for much of next week. Low pressure
will never be far from the UK and with northerlies or NW'lies exposed
coastal areas are at risk of seeing a fair few snow showers. Further inland
there'll be much less snow unless frontal systems or troughs move
southwards - the details of those won't be known until closer to the time,
of course.
Looking further ahead it still looks like Atlantic lows will approach the UK
towards the end of the week and depending on their exact track some areas
may see some significant snow, driven on by strong easterlies. At the moment
it's still impossible to say whether that'll occur, but it's worth keeping
an eye on the forecasts in the media this week.

ECMWF: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
Low pressure is centred over Denmark with a trough over Scotland. Winds
elsewhere are NW'lies, followed by NNW'lies and NW'lies at T+144 as the
trough sinks southwards. T+168 sees a low deepen to the south with much of
the UK under a col.

MetO: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
Low pressure covers the UK, bringing SW'lies to much of England and
northerlies elsewhere. The low moves away to the east at T+144, leaving the
UK under NW'lies.

GFS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
GFS also shows the UK under the influence of low pressure, this time centred
over the North Sea. Winds are northerlies for Scotland and NNW'lies or
NW'lies elsewhere. The low sinks SE'wards at T+144, leaving the UK under
NW'lies. By T+168 there's a complete change as a wave deepens and moves
swiftly NE'wards to lie to the north of Scotland; winds are SW'lies or
southerlies over the UK as a result.

GEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Westerlies cover the UK due to a low to the NE. A low deepens to the WSW at
T+144, leaving much of the UK under a col.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...260000_120.gif
A trough covers Scotland, leading to northerlies there and to westerlies
elsewhere. The trough moves southwards at T+144 with a mix of northerlies
and NW'lies.

NOGAPS: http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
The UK lies under a light NW'ly flow, with a low to the ENE. Low pressure
deepens and moves ENE'wards along the English Channel at T+144, resulting in
brisk easterlies over much of England and Wales. Elsewhere winds are light
northerlies or NE'lies.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
Light winds and a col cover the UK.



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Old February 26th 06, 10:38 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (26/02/06)

Felly sgrifennodd Darren Prescott @:
At the moment
it's still impossible to say whether that'll occur, but it's worth keeping
an eye on the forecasts in the media this week.


Surely you mean it's worth keeping an eye on u.s.w?

Adrian

--
Adrian Shaw ais@
Adran Cyfrifiadureg, Prifysgol Cymru, aber.
Aberystwyth, Ceredigion, Cymru ac.
http://users.aber.ac.uk/ais uk


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