Latest sat pics show intense cyclogenisis and tomorrow's Storm looks
like its wrapping up already!!

Here a roundup i made an hours ago, before noticing major
developments...

Rather stark develoment of a feature to approach here tomorrow
I've done an analysis

Thought i'd open a new one for the fresh storms ready to brew in the
atlantic over the coming week a quick run-down on the main events -:

Sunday Warning of Severe Gales - Gusts to 75mph
A rapidly developing feature 500miles south-south-west of
Ireland is currently showing up very well on satellite
imagery, infact the extent of development is quite stark
so early in the systems development.

Latest Satellite Imagery


The track of the LP will bring it just to the northwest of Scotland
at midnight on Sunday:


Details on the feature :-
The systems associated warm front will move into the southwest
approaches at midday Sunday and spread swiftly northeastwards
giving upto 20-25mm of rainfall in places. The associated Cold front
will soon arrive into Ireland by 21z with a reasonable amount of
action on front with squalls and TS's possible. Wind Speed will begin
to pick up by 15z and will slowly rise througout the evening. Winds
will peak at around Midnight in the far west and especially over
Ireland. Mean Speeds of 40Knots along western coasts with gusts as
high as 65-70Kn possible. Up the Irish Sea Mean Winds will be 35Knots
with gusts to 65Knots possible. Over Land mean windspeeds will be
highest over Ireland and Wales at around 25-30knots with gusts to
60Knots. Western Scotland will then be affected by the most severe
gales just after midnight with gusts as high as 75knots possible
although 70knots is more likely. The cold front will swing
through England introducing the higher winds around midnight also.

I am keen to point out with latest satellite imagery things may
exceed
what i anticipate above.

Onto Tuesday where intense developments are likely. Worst
affected areas will be Western Wales and England, Scotland
and Ireland. Areas at risk of really severe wind gusts are
Western and Northern Ireland, Western and Northern Scotland.
A rapidly developing low pressure is expect to run up the
West coast of Ireland with severe Force 11 (poss. force 12 winds)
on its southern flank. The Low looks like it will thankfully stay
off shore hopefully reducing the liklihood of damage. A quick
summary reveals that During Tuesday afternoon Western Ireland
could see sustained 50Knot winds with gusts as high as 80knots
not ruled out. I'll update you further on this later or in
the morning as UK Met does not develop as an intense
feature as the Meso and GFS

Batten those hatches especially those in the west

Latest Sat is worrying.....
http://www.meteoam.it/satellit/WWW/i...2020:00:00.jpg

wrote in message
ups.com...

I'll update you further on this later or in
the morning as UK Met does not develop as an intense
feature as the Meso and GFS

What "Meso" exactly ?

Jon.

The NMM

wrote in message
oups.com...
The NMM

Presumably the 22KM version ? 'Proper' mesoscale models are 12KM or less
and non-hydrostatic :-)

Jon.

Thanks for the detail
The URL for the sat pic you gave does not sem to work though.

Cheers

AJM


Latest Sat is worrying.....
http://www.meteoam.it/satellit/WWW/i...2020:00:00.jpg