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Old January 12th 05, 06:18 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
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Default Today's model interpretation (12/01/05)

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0617z,
12/01/05.

The charts show a mobile setup with wet and windy weather for much of the
UK. Southern and eastern areas of England look like escaping the worst, with
high pressure never far away. There'll be a fair bit of snow over the
mountains of Scotland by the looks of it, although colder incursions of air
will be shortlived further south.

ECMWF: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure covers eastern Europe, with a ridge over England and Wales.
Winds are southerlies or SSE'lies across most of the UK, although much of
Scotland lies under SW'lies. SW'lies cover the whole of the UK at T+144 as
the ridge sinks SE'wards, followed by westerlies and WNW'lies as high
pressure builds to the SW on day 7.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.html
Complex low pressure surrounds Iceland, while high pressure is centred over
western France. This results in WSW'lies across the UK, followed by stronger
westerlies at T+144 as a trough moves eastwards.

GFS: http://64.246.48.81/pics/Rtavn1201.gif
WSW'lies and SW'lies cover the UK, due to high pressure to the south and
east. 850hPa temperatures vary from -2C over NW Scotland to +3C over SE
England. The winds strengthen at T+144 as the result of a secondary low to
the NW, followed by westerlies for all on day 7 as a trough moves eastwards.
Day 8 sees another secondary low to the WNW, with strong WSW'lies. By day 9
another trough moves eastwards, bringing WNW'lies for all. The winds become
NW'lies on day 10 as a ridge builds to the west.

GEM: http://www.meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
A trough lies to the west, resulting in SW'lies for the UK. The winds become
westerlies at T+144 as the trough moves swiftly eastwards at T+144, followed
by SW'lies and NW'lies from another trough on day 7.

GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...110000_120.gif
Unavailable today.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.html
Strong SW'lies affect the UK, again with a trough to the west. SW'lies
persist at T+144 before a trough moves eastwards to bring colder westerlies
to all for day 7. Day 8 sees much milderer and stronger westerlies as the
Azores High ridges over France and Iberia.

NOGAPS: http://129.13.102.67/wz/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
NOGAPS is another run showing a ridge to the SE and a trough to the west;
the result is similar to the others with SW'lies for all.

GM CPTEC: http://www.cptec.inpe.br/prevnum/Global126_sx6_Gl.shtml
A ridge lies to the west of the UK, leading to strong northerlies and
NNW'lies.

KMA: http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
A large high lies to the ESW and complex low pressure is located to the
north and west. This brings SSW'lies across the UK.



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